Minnesota's 5th congressional district, centered in Minneapolis, maintains a strongly Democratic partisan lean with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32. Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic nomination in the August 2026 primary with roughly 81 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, clearing the path for the November general election. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Republican nominee John Nagel and unaffiliated candidate DeVelle Jackson face steep structural barriers in this urban district. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMN-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MN-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$48,403 Vol.
$48,403 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
96%
Parti républicain
2%
$48,403 Vol.
$48,403 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$18,221 Vol.
96%
Parti républicain
$30,182 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th congressional district, centered in Minneapolis, maintains a strongly Democratic partisan lean with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32. Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic nomination in the August 2026 primary with roughly 81 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, clearing the path for the November general election. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Republican nominee John Nagel and unaffiliated candidate DeVelle Jackson face steep structural barriers in this urban district. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$48,403Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th congressional district, centered in Minneapolis, maintains a strongly Democratic partisan lean with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32. Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic nomination in the August 2026 primary with roughly 81 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, clearing the path for the November general election. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Republican nominee John Nagel and unaffiliated candidate DeVelle Jackson face steep structural barriers in this urban district. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$48,403Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 5th congressional district, centered in Minneapolis, maintains a strongly Democratic partisan lean with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32. Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic nomination in the August 2026 primary with roughly 81 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, clearing the path for the November general election. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Republican nominee John Nagel and unaffiliated candidate DeVelle Jackson face steep structural barriers in this urban district. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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