Florida's 5th congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 partisan voting index and the incumbent's 63-point reelection margin in 2024. John Rutherford benefits from established name recognition, consistent fundraising edges, and forecaster ratings of Solid R or Likely R ahead of the November general election. The upcoming August 18 Republican primary against challenger Mark Kaye and a low-profile Democratic primary further anchor trader consensus around a GOP hold. Scenarios that could shift probabilities include an incumbent primary defeat, a significant scandal, or an unusually favorable national environment for Democrats that boosts turnout in competitive districts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-05
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-05
$16,844 Vol.
$16,844 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
93%
Parti démocrate
8%
$16,844 Vol.
$16,844 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$8,841 Vol.
93%
Parti démocrate
$8,002 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 5th congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 partisan voting index and the incumbent's 63-point reelection margin in 2024. John Rutherford benefits from established name recognition, consistent fundraising edges, and forecaster ratings of Solid R or Likely R ahead of the November general election. The upcoming August 18 Republican primary against challenger Mark Kaye and a low-profile Democratic primary further anchor trader consensus around a GOP hold. Scenarios that could shift probabilities include an incumbent primary defeat, a significant scandal, or an unusually favorable national environment for Democrats that boosts turnout in competitive districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Volume
$16,844Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 5th congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 partisan voting index and the incumbent's 63-point reelection margin in 2024. John Rutherford benefits from established name recognition, consistent fundraising edges, and forecaster ratings of Solid R or Likely R ahead of the November general election. The upcoming August 18 Republican primary against challenger Mark Kaye and a low-profile Democratic primary further anchor trader consensus around a GOP hold. Scenarios that could shift probabilities include an incumbent primary defeat, a significant scandal, or an unusually favorable national environment for Democrats that boosts turnout in competitive districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$16,844Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 5th congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 partisan voting index and the incumbent's 63-point reelection margin in 2024. John Rutherford benefits from established name recognition, consistent fundraising edges, and forecaster ratings of Solid R or Likely R ahead of the November general election. The upcoming August 18 Republican primary against challenger Mark Kaye and a low-profile Democratic primary further anchor trader consensus around a GOP hold. Scenarios that could shift probabilities include an incumbent primary defeat, a significant scandal, or an unusually favorable national environment for Democrats that boosts turnout in competitive districts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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