Recent short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate a warm air mass over northern France will limit nocturnal radiative cooling on August 8–9, supporting overnight lows near 16–18°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with trader consensus clustering on 17°C as the modal outcome, reflecting model agreement on minimum temperatures amid an ongoing summer pattern rather than a sharp cold front. Historical August minima in Paris average 15–16°C, but current high-pressure dominance and residual heat from prior days reduce the chance of sub-16°C readings while capping upside from excessive daytime heating. New model runs expected within 24 hours could shift probabilities if wind or cloud cover changes.