**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and rainfall are the dominant factors capping Lucknow's August 9 maximum near 33°C, the market's leading outcome at 40.5% implied probability.** Peak southwest monsoon activity typically delivers widespread cloudiness and scattered showers across Uttar Pradesh, limiting solar insolation and suppressing daytime highs relative to pre-monsoon peaks. Climatological August averages for Lucknow hover around 31–34°C, with model consensus from agencies such as the India Meteorological Department favoring similar values amid ongoing moisture influx. Recent forecasts show light rain or thundery activity possible on the 9th, reinforcing the 32–34°C cluster (collectively over 90% probability). Any unexpected monsoon break could allow a brief spike toward 35°C+, but current steering patterns and humidity make that low-probability; traders will monitor the next IMD bulletin and updated ensemble runs for shifts in precipitation timing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Lucknow le 9 août ?
33°C 41%
34°C 30%
32°C 22%
35°C 8%
26°C ou moins
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
22%
33°C
41%
34°C
30%
35°C
8%
36°C ou plus
3%
33°C 41%
34°C 30%
32°C 22%
35°C 8%
26°C ou moins
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
22%
33°C
41%
34°C
30%
35°C
8%
36°C ou plus
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 7, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and rainfall are the dominant factors capping Lucknow's August 9 maximum near 33°C, the market's leading outcome at 40.5% implied probability.** Peak southwest monsoon activity typically delivers widespread cloudiness and scattered showers across Uttar Pradesh, limiting solar insolation and suppressing daytime highs relative to pre-monsoon peaks. Climatological August averages for Lucknow hover around 31–34°C, with model consensus from agencies such as the India Meteorological Department favoring similar values amid ongoing moisture influx. Recent forecasts show light rain or thundery activity possible on the 9th, reinforcing the 32–34°C cluster (collectively over 90% probability). Any unexpected monsoon break could allow a brief spike toward 35°C+, but current steering patterns and humidity make that low-probability; traders will monitor the next IMD bulletin and updated ensemble runs for shifts in precipitation timing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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