**Official forecasts from MetService and NIWA for August 7, 2026, in Wellington show a daytime maximum of 13°C under a transition to northerly winds, with a fine morning followed by occasional afternoon rain.** This aligns closely with the market-implied odds, where 13°C leads at 56.5% followed by 12°C at 24.5%. August climatology places typical highs near 12°C, with sea surface temperatures around 12°C providing a moderating influence in this coastal, windy location. Recent days featured cooler southerly flows with showers and possible hill snow, but the shift to northerlies is expected to support the modest warming. Model consensus remains tight around the 12–13°C range, with limited scope for outliers given the seasonal context and lack of strong high-pressure blocking or extreme advection. Upcoming MetService updates and any revised model runs overnight will be the key near-term drivers for these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Wellington le 7 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Wellington le 7 août ?
13°C 57%
12°C 29%
14°C 14%
11°C 3%
NOUVEAU
$13,267 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$13,267 Vol.
7 août 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
3%
12°C
29%
13°C
57%
14°C
14%
15°C
2%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 57%
12°C 29%
14°C 14%
11°C 3%
NOUVEAU
$13,267 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$13,267 Vol.
7 août 2026
7°C or below
$407 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$431 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$570 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$553 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$2,528 Vol.
3%
12°C
$1,345 Vol.
29%
13°C
$4,259 Vol.
57%
14°C
$1,624 Vol.
14%
15°C
$731 Vol.
2%
16°C
$421 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$396 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from MetService and NIWA for August 7, 2026, in Wellington show a daytime maximum of 13°C under a transition to northerly winds, with a fine morning followed by occasional afternoon rain.** This aligns closely with the market-implied odds, where 13°C leads at 56.5% followed by 12°C at 24.5%.
August climatology places typical highs near 12°C, with sea surface temperatures around 12°C providing a moderating influence in this coastal, windy location. Recent days featured cooler southerly flows with showers and possible hill snow, but the shift to northerlies is expected to support the modest warming. Model consensus remains tight around the 12–13°C range, with limited scope for outliers given the seasonal context and lack of strong high-pressure blocking or extreme advection.
Upcoming MetService updates and any revised model runs overnight will be the key near-term drivers for these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$13,267Date de fin
7 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from MetService and NIWA for August 7, 2026, in Wellington show a daytime maximum of 13°C under a transition to northerly winds, with a fine morning followed by occasional afternoon rain.** This aligns closely with the market-implied odds, where 13°C leads at 56.5% followed by 12°C at 24.5%.
August climatology places typical highs near 12°C, with sea surface temperatures around 12°C providing a moderating influence in this coastal, windy location. Recent days featured cooler southerly flows with showers and possible hill snow, but the shift to northerlies is expected to support the modest warming. Model consensus remains tight around the 12–13°C range, with limited scope for outliers given the seasonal context and lack of strong high-pressure blocking or extreme advection.
Upcoming MetService updates and any revised model runs overnight will be the key near-term drivers for these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,267Date de fin
7 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from MetService and NIWA for August 7, 2026, in Wellington show a daytime maximum of 13°C under a transition to northerly winds, with a fine morning followed by occasional afternoon rain.** This aligns closely with the market-implied odds, where 13°C leads at 56.5% followed by 12°C at 24.5%. August climatology places typical highs near 12°C, with sea surface temperatures around 12°C providing a moderating influence in this coastal, windy location. Recent days featured cooler southerly flows with showers and possible hill snow, but the shift to northerlies is expected to support the modest warming. Model consensus remains tight around the 12–13°C range, with limited scope for outliers given the seasonal context and lack of strong high-pressure blocking or extreme advection. Upcoming MetService updates and any revised model runs overnight will be the key near-term drivers for these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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