Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles points to a daytime maximum near 33–34°C in Paris on August 9, driven by southerly flow and building high pressure that favors clear to partly cloudy skies. Ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty around afternoon peak values, with some runs allowing brief convective cooling or slightly stronger insolation to nudge readings one degree higher or lower. These conditions sit several degrees above seasonal normals near 25°C, yet well below extreme heat-wave thresholds, producing the tight market clustering around 33–34°C outcomes. Updated high-resolution runs and official guidance expected through August 8 will refine the precise threshold before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Paris le 9 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Paris le 9 août ?
34°C 34%
33°C 33%
32°C 18%
35°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 août 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
18%
33°C
33%
34°C
34%
35°C
14%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 34%
33°C 33%
32°C 18%
35°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 août 2026
28°C or below
$1,165 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$18 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$19 Vol.
1%
31°C
$305 Vol.
4%
32°C
$655 Vol.
18%
33°C
$447 Vol.
33%
34°C
$1,102 Vol.
34%
35°C
$315 Vol.
14%
36°C
$35 Vol.
2%
37°C
$42 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$91 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles points to a daytime maximum near 33–34°C in Paris on August 9, driven by southerly flow and building high pressure that favors clear to partly cloudy skies. Ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty around afternoon peak values, with some runs allowing brief convective cooling or slightly stronger insolation to nudge readings one degree higher or lower. These conditions sit several degrees above seasonal normals near 25°C, yet well below extreme heat-wave thresholds, producing the tight market clustering around 33–34°C outcomes. Updated high-resolution runs and official guidance expected through August 8 will refine the precise threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$4,195Date de fin
9 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles points to a daytime maximum near 33–34°C in Paris on August 9, driven by southerly flow and building high pressure that favors clear to partly cloudy skies. Ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty around afternoon peak values, with some runs allowing brief convective cooling or slightly stronger insolation to nudge readings one degree higher or lower. These conditions sit several degrees above seasonal normals near 25°C, yet well below extreme heat-wave thresholds, producing the tight market clustering around 33–34°C outcomes. Updated high-resolution runs and official guidance expected through August 8 will refine the precise threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,195Date de fin
9 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles points to a daytime maximum near 33–34°C in Paris on August 9, driven by southerly flow and building high pressure that favors clear to partly cloudy skies. Ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty around afternoon peak values, with some runs allowing brief convective cooling or slightly stronger insolation to nudge readings one degree higher or lower. These conditions sit several degrees above seasonal normals near 25°C, yet well below extreme heat-wave thresholds, producing the tight market clustering around 33–34°C outcomes. Updated high-resolution runs and official guidance expected through August 8 will refine the precise threshold before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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