Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate the primary driver of trader consensus around 76–79°F for New York City’s overnight low on August 8 is a warm, humid air mass with limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Typical early-August climatology features minimum temperatures near 72–74°F, yet persistent high pressure and urban heat retention are keeping readings elevated, with ensemble guidance showing little change in dew points or wind patterns through the period. Recent observations confirm above-normal nighttime temperatures across the Northeast, reducing the chance of dips into the low 70s unless clearer skies and drier air develop unexpectedly. Upcoming model runs from NOAA will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à New York le 8 août ?
La température la plus basse à New York le 8 août ?
76-77°F 39%
78-79 °F 30%
74-75°F 18%
72-73°F 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 août 2026
65°F ou moins
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
39%
78-79 °F
30%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
1%
84°F ou plus
1%
76-77°F 39%
78-79 °F 30%
74-75°F 18%
72-73°F 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 août 2026
65°F ou moins
$43 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$85 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$17 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$23 Vol.
3%
72-73°F
$51 Vol.
6%
74-75°F
$105 Vol.
18%
76-77°F
$901 Vol.
39%
78-79 °F
$160 Vol.
30%
80-81°F
$60 Vol.
5%
82-83°F
$411 Vol.
1%
84°F ou plus
$31 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate the primary driver of trader consensus around 76–79°F for New York City’s overnight low on August 8 is a warm, humid air mass with limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Typical early-August climatology features minimum temperatures near 72–74°F, yet persistent high pressure and urban heat retention are keeping readings elevated, with ensemble guidance showing little change in dew points or wind patterns through the period. Recent observations confirm above-normal nighttime temperatures across the Northeast, reducing the chance of dips into the low 70s unless clearer skies and drier air develop unexpectedly. Upcoming model runs from NOAA will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$1,888Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate the primary driver of trader consensus around 76–79°F for New York City’s overnight low on August 8 is a warm, humid air mass with limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Typical early-August climatology features minimum temperatures near 72–74°F, yet persistent high pressure and urban heat retention are keeping readings elevated, with ensemble guidance showing little change in dew points or wind patterns through the period. Recent observations confirm above-normal nighttime temperatures across the Northeast, reducing the chance of dips into the low 70s unless clearer skies and drier air develop unexpectedly. Upcoming model runs from NOAA will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,888Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate the primary driver of trader consensus around 76–79°F for New York City’s overnight low on August 8 is a warm, humid air mass with limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Typical early-August climatology features minimum temperatures near 72–74°F, yet persistent high pressure and urban heat retention are keeping readings elevated, with ensemble guidance showing little change in dew points or wind patterns through the period. Recent observations confirm above-normal nighttime temperatures across the Northeast, reducing the chance of dips into the low 70s unless clearer skies and drier air develop unexpectedly. Upcoming model runs from NOAA will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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