Forecast consensus from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and models such as GFS and ECMWF centers the overnight minimum in Mexico City around 11–13 °C on August 30, reflecting the high-elevation Valley of Mexico’s typical late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Light winds and elevated humidity limit further drops, while localized urban heat islands and orographic drainage can produce 1–2 °C variations across monitoring stations. Recent model runs show minimal spread, yet traders assign roughly equal implied probabilities to 10–15 °C because small shifts in cloud timing or precipitation intensity can alter the precise hourly low that resolves the market. Historical August minima average near 13 °C, providing context for the clustered odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Mexico le 30 août ?
La température la plus basse à Mexico le 30 août ?
10°C 36%
11°C 36%
12°C 36%
13°C 36%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
6 °C ou moins
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
36%
11°C
36%
12°C
36%
13°C
36%
14°C
36%
15°C
35%
16°C ou plus
<1%
10°C 36%
11°C 36%
12°C 36%
13°C 36%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
6 °C ou moins
$28 Vol.
1%
7°C
$80 Vol.
1%
8°C
$27 Vol.
1%
9°C
$40 Vol.
1%
10°C
$4 Vol.
36%
11°C
$0 Vol.
36%
12°C
$0 Vol.
36%
13°C
$0 Vol.
36%
14°C
$0 Vol.
36%
15°C
$0 Vol.
35%
16°C ou plus
$100 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and models such as GFS and ECMWF centers the overnight minimum in Mexico City around 11–13 °C on August 30, reflecting the high-elevation Valley of Mexico’s typical late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Light winds and elevated humidity limit further drops, while localized urban heat islands and orographic drainage can produce 1–2 °C variations across monitoring stations. Recent model runs show minimal spread, yet traders assign roughly equal implied probabilities to 10–15 °C because small shifts in cloud timing or precipitation intensity can alter the precise hourly low that resolves the market. Historical August minima average near 13 °C, providing context for the clustered odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Volume
$278Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and models such as GFS and ECMWF centers the overnight minimum in Mexico City around 11–13 °C on August 30, reflecting the high-elevation Valley of Mexico’s typical late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Light winds and elevated humidity limit further drops, while localized urban heat islands and orographic drainage can produce 1–2 °C variations across monitoring stations. Recent model runs show minimal spread, yet traders assign roughly equal implied probabilities to 10–15 °C because small shifts in cloud timing or precipitation intensity can alter the precise hourly low that resolves the market. Historical August minima average near 13 °C, providing context for the clustered odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$278Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and models such as GFS and ECMWF centers the overnight minimum in Mexico City around 11–13 °C on August 30, reflecting the high-elevation Valley of Mexico’s typical late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Light winds and elevated humidity limit further drops, while localized urban heat islands and orographic drainage can produce 1–2 °C variations across monitoring stations. Recent model runs show minimal spread, yet traders assign roughly equal implied probabilities to 10–15 °C because small shifts in cloud timing or precipitation intensity can alter the precise hourly low that resolves the market. Historical August minima average near 13 °C, providing context for the clustered odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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