**Official meteorological observations from Mexico City's primary monitoring stations recorded a minimum temperature of 14°C overnight on August 29, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 100% implied probability on that outcome.** Rainfall and cloud cover associated with the ongoing rainy season moderated daytime heating and prevented stronger radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low within the typical 13–15°C range forecast by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional. Historical climatology for late August supports this narrow band, with average lows near 12–14°C at the city's high elevation. Trader consensus reflects the convergence of real-time station data and model outputs, with only minimal probability assigned to outliers. A later revision from an official source or measurement at a different urban micro-site could theoretically shift resolution, though current verified readings make such adjustments unlikely.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Mexico le 29 août ?
La température la plus basse à Mexico le 29 août ?
14 °C 100.0%
9°C ou moins <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$1,221 Vol.
$1,221 Vol.
29 août 2026
9°C ou moins
Non
10°C
Non
11°C
Non
12°C
Non
13°C
Non
14 °C
Oui
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C ou plus
Non
14 °C 100.0%
9°C ou moins <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$1,221 Vol.
$1,221 Vol.
29 août 2026
9°C ou moins
$175 Vol.
Non
10°C
$114 Vol.
Non
11°C
$69 Vol.
Non
12°C
$59 Vol.
Non
13°C
$60 Vol.
Non
14 °C
$137 Vol.
Oui
15°C
$314 Vol.
Non
16°C
$112 Vol.
Non
17°C
$84 Vol.
Non
18°C
$30 Vol.
Non
19°C ou plus
$67 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official meteorological observations from Mexico City's primary monitoring stations recorded a minimum temperature of 14°C overnight on August 29, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 100% implied probability on that outcome.**
Rainfall and cloud cover associated with the ongoing rainy season moderated daytime heating and prevented stronger radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low within the typical 13–15°C range forecast by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional. Historical climatology for late August supports this narrow band, with average lows near 12–14°C at the city's high elevation. Trader consensus reflects the convergence of real-time station data and model outputs, with only minimal probability assigned to outliers. A later revision from an official source or measurement at a different urban micro-site could theoretically shift resolution, though current verified readings make such adjustments unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$1,221Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official meteorological observations from Mexico City's primary monitoring stations recorded a minimum temperature of 14°C overnight on August 29, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 100% implied probability on that outcome.**
Rainfall and cloud cover associated with the ongoing rainy season moderated daytime heating and prevented stronger radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low within the typical 13–15°C range forecast by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional. Historical climatology for late August supports this narrow band, with average lows near 12–14°C at the city's high elevation. Trader consensus reflects the convergence of real-time station data and model outputs, with only minimal probability assigned to outliers. A later revision from an official source or measurement at a different urban micro-site could theoretically shift resolution, though current verified readings make such adjustments unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,221Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Official meteorological observations from Mexico City's primary monitoring stations recorded a minimum temperature of 14°C overnight on August 29, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 100% implied probability on that outcome.** Rainfall and cloud cover associated with the ongoing rainy season moderated daytime heating and prevented stronger radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low within the typical 13–15°C range forecast by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional. Historical climatology for late August supports this narrow band, with average lows near 12–14°C at the city's high elevation. Trader consensus reflects the convergence of real-time station data and model outputs, with only minimal probability assigned to outliers. A later revision from an official source or measurement at a different urban micro-site could theoretically shift resolution, though current verified readings make such adjustments unlikely.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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