**Forecast models indicate Manila's overnight low on September 18 will likely settle near 24–25°C amid typical late-rainy-season conditions.** High humidity near 90–95% and persistent cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms limit radiational cooling after sunset, while light variable winds (often under 5 mph) reduce mixing. Official guidance from agencies tracking the western Pacific monsoon shows daytime highs near 30–32°C transitioning to nighttime minima around 25°C, consistent with September climatology of 24–26°C lows. The tight 50% market split between 24°C and 25°C reflects model uncertainty in exact timing of showers and urban heat-island moderation at the primary observing site. No major tropical cyclone or anomalous steering pattern has altered the outlook in recent days, keeping probabilities anchored to standard ensemble consensus rather than extreme outliers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Manille le 18 septembre ?
Température la plus basse à Manille le 18 septembre ?
20°C ou moins 90%
25°C 50%
24°C 50%
21°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 sept. 2026
20°C ou moins
90%
21°C
18%
22°C
18%
23°C
18%
24°C
50%
25°C
50%
26°C
4%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou plus
<1%
20°C ou moins 90%
25°C 50%
24°C 50%
21°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 sept. 2026
20°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
90%
21°C
$0 Vol.
18%
22°C
$0 Vol.
18%
23°C
$0 Vol.
18%
24°C
$0 Vol.
50%
25°C
$0 Vol.
50%
26°C
$4,658 Vol.
4%
27°C
$158 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
30°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate Manila's overnight low on September 18 will likely settle near 24–25°C amid typical late-rainy-season conditions.** High humidity near 90–95% and persistent cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms limit radiational cooling after sunset, while light variable winds (often under 5 mph) reduce mixing. Official guidance from agencies tracking the western Pacific monsoon shows daytime highs near 30–32°C transitioning to nighttime minima around 25°C, consistent with September climatology of 24–26°C lows. The tight 50% market split between 24°C and 25°C reflects model uncertainty in exact timing of showers and urban heat-island moderation at the primary observing site. No major tropical cyclone or anomalous steering pattern has altered the outlook in recent days, keeping probabilities anchored to standard ensemble consensus rather than extreme outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 16, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$4,816Date de fin
18 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 16, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate Manila's overnight low on September 18 will likely settle near 24–25°C amid typical late-rainy-season conditions.** High humidity near 90–95% and persistent cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms limit radiational cooling after sunset, while light variable winds (often under 5 mph) reduce mixing. Official guidance from agencies tracking the western Pacific monsoon shows daytime highs near 30–32°C transitioning to nighttime minima around 25°C, consistent with September climatology of 24–26°C lows. The tight 50% market split between 24°C and 25°C reflects model uncertainty in exact timing of showers and urban heat-island moderation at the primary observing site. No major tropical cyclone or anomalous steering pattern has altered the outlook in recent days, keeping probabilities anchored to standard ensemble consensus rather than extreme outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,816Date de fin
18 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 16, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate Manila's overnight low on September 18 will likely settle near 24–25°C amid typical late-rainy-season conditions.** High humidity near 90–95% and persistent cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms limit radiational cooling after sunset, while light variable winds (often under 5 mph) reduce mixing. Official guidance from agencies tracking the western Pacific monsoon shows daytime highs near 30–32°C transitioning to nighttime minima around 25°C, consistent with September climatology of 24–26°C lows. The tight 50% market split between 24°C and 25°C reflects model uncertainty in exact timing of showers and urban heat-island moderation at the primary observing site. No major tropical cyclone or anomalous steering pattern has altered the outlook in recent days, keeping probabilities anchored to standard ensemble consensus rather than extreme outliers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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