Ongoing enhanced southwest monsoon (habagat) rains and associated cloud cover over Metro Manila represent the dominant driver of trader sentiment for the September 1 minimum temperature. Persistent moisture from the southwest flow, reinforced by nearby low-pressure areas, increases overnight humidity and reduces radiative cooling, supporting minimums clustered around 25–27°C in model guidance. Differentiating factors among closely matched outcomes include forecast spread in cloud thickness and rainfall timing, which modulate boundary-layer mixing and nocturnal temperature drops; stronger convective activity could limit cooling toward 25°C or below, while partial clearing might allow brief dips near 24°C. Historical September baselines near 25°C and current red-alert monsoon conditions underscore the uncertainty ahead of updated PAGASA guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Manille le 1er septembre ?
Température la plus basse à Manille le 1er septembre ?
26°C 31%
27°C 30%
28°C 28%
25°C 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
9%
25°C
26%
26°C
31%
27°C
30%
28°C
28%
29°C
22%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C ou plus
<1%
26°C 31%
27°C 30%
28°C 28%
25°C 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
22°C or below
$10 Vol.
2%
23°C
$8 Vol.
7%
24°C
$8 Vol.
9%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
31%
27°C
$0 Vol.
30%
28°C
$0 Vol.
28%
29°C
$75 Vol.
22%
30°C
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
1%
32°C ou plus
$648 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing enhanced southwest monsoon (habagat) rains and associated cloud cover over Metro Manila represent the dominant driver of trader sentiment for the September 1 minimum temperature. Persistent moisture from the southwest flow, reinforced by nearby low-pressure areas, increases overnight humidity and reduces radiative cooling, supporting minimums clustered around 25–27°C in model guidance. Differentiating factors among closely matched outcomes include forecast spread in cloud thickness and rainfall timing, which modulate boundary-layer mixing and nocturnal temperature drops; stronger convective activity could limit cooling toward 25°C or below, while partial clearing might allow brief dips near 24°C. Historical September baselines near 25°C and current red-alert monsoon conditions underscore the uncertainty ahead of updated PAGASA guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 30, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$749Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing enhanced southwest monsoon (habagat) rains and associated cloud cover over Metro Manila represent the dominant driver of trader sentiment for the September 1 minimum temperature. Persistent moisture from the southwest flow, reinforced by nearby low-pressure areas, increases overnight humidity and reduces radiative cooling, supporting minimums clustered around 25–27°C in model guidance. Differentiating factors among closely matched outcomes include forecast spread in cloud thickness and rainfall timing, which modulate boundary-layer mixing and nocturnal temperature drops; stronger convective activity could limit cooling toward 25°C or below, while partial clearing might allow brief dips near 24°C. Historical September baselines near 25°C and current red-alert monsoon conditions underscore the uncertainty ahead of updated PAGASA guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$749Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing enhanced southwest monsoon (habagat) rains and associated cloud cover over Metro Manila represent the dominant driver of trader sentiment for the September 1 minimum temperature. Persistent moisture from the southwest flow, reinforced by nearby low-pressure areas, increases overnight humidity and reduces radiative cooling, supporting minimums clustered around 25–27°C in model guidance. Differentiating factors among closely matched outcomes include forecast spread in cloud thickness and rainfall timing, which modulate boundary-layer mixing and nocturnal temperature drops; stronger convective activity could limit cooling toward 25°C or below, while partial clearing might allow brief dips near 24°C. Historical September baselines near 25°C and current red-alert monsoon conditions underscore the uncertainty ahead of updated PAGASA guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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