Southwest monsoon (habagat) flows and associated cloud cover with scattered showers are the main drivers capping Manila’s August 31 maximum near 31–32 °C, as reflected in the tight 35.5–41 % market split. Persistent southwest winds advect moist maritime air, promoting widespread stratiform clouds that limit daytime insolation while sea breezes from Manila Bay and evaporative cooling from rainfall further suppress peaks; urban heat-island effects from concrete and asphalt provide a modest counterbalance. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble models show only minor differences in rain timing or convective intensity that could tip the daily high by 1 °C, keeping both outcomes viable until final observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Manille le 31 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Manille le 31 août ?
32°C 41%
31°C 36%
33°C 11%
30°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
25°C ou moins
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
9%
31°C
36%
32°C
41%
33°C
11%
34°C
<1%
35°C ou plus
<1%
32°C 41%
31°C 36%
33°C 11%
30°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
25°C ou moins
$223 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$286 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$172 Vol.
1%
28°C
$56 Vol.
2%
29°C
$64 Vol.
4%
30°C
$709 Vol.
9%
31°C
$732 Vol.
36%
32°C
$1,305 Vol.
41%
33°C
$368 Vol.
11%
34°C
$12 Vol.
<1%
35°C ou plus
$150 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Southwest monsoon (habagat) flows and associated cloud cover with scattered showers are the main drivers capping Manila’s August 31 maximum near 31–32 °C, as reflected in the tight 35.5–41 % market split. Persistent southwest winds advect moist maritime air, promoting widespread stratiform clouds that limit daytime insolation while sea breezes from Manila Bay and evaporative cooling from rainfall further suppress peaks; urban heat-island effects from concrete and asphalt provide a modest counterbalance. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble models show only minor differences in rain timing or convective intensity that could tip the daily high by 1 °C, keeping both outcomes viable until final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$4,077Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Southwest monsoon (habagat) flows and associated cloud cover with scattered showers are the main drivers capping Manila’s August 31 maximum near 31–32 °C, as reflected in the tight 35.5–41 % market split. Persistent southwest winds advect moist maritime air, promoting widespread stratiform clouds that limit daytime insolation while sea breezes from Manila Bay and evaporative cooling from rainfall further suppress peaks; urban heat-island effects from concrete and asphalt provide a modest counterbalance. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble models show only minor differences in rain timing or convective intensity that could tip the daily high by 1 °C, keeping both outcomes viable until final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,077Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Southwest monsoon (habagat) flows and associated cloud cover with scattered showers are the main drivers capping Manila’s August 31 maximum near 31–32 °C, as reflected in the tight 35.5–41 % market split. Persistent southwest winds advect moist maritime air, promoting widespread stratiform clouds that limit daytime insolation while sea breezes from Manila Bay and evaporative cooling from rainfall further suppress peaks; urban heat-island effects from concrete and asphalt provide a modest counterbalance. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble models show only minor differences in rain timing or convective intensity that could tip the daily high by 1 °C, keeping both outcomes viable until final observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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