Current forecasts from multiple models indicate an overnight low near 11°C for Cape Town on August 31 under clear skies and light southerly winds, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–10°C. Radiative cooling overnight in the absence of clouds or strong mixing will determine the precise minimum, with official station readings resolving the market. Milder-than-average air masses this late in winter have kept probabilities for 5°C or below low at 8.5%, while any unexpected increase in cloud cover or wind could push readings toward 12°C or higher. Traders are weighting model consensus heavily as the final 24-hour forecast window approaches.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse au Cap le 31 août ?
La température la plus basse au Cap le 31 août ?
9°C 31%
8°C 28%
10°C 27%
7°C 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
5°C or below
9%
6°C
25%
7°C
26%
8°C
28%
9°C
31%
10°C
27%
11°C
22%
12°C
20%
13°C
10%
14°C
10%
15°C or higher
<1%
9°C 31%
8°C 28%
10°C 27%
7°C 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
5°C or below
$80 Vol.
9%
6°C
$0 Vol.
25%
7°C
$0 Vol.
26%
8°C
$0 Vol.
28%
9°C
$0 Vol.
31%
10°C
$0 Vol.
27%
11°C
$0 Vol.
22%
12°C
$0 Vol.
20%
13°C
$10 Vol.
10%
14°C
$5 Vol.
10%
15°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate an overnight low near 11°C for Cape Town on August 31 under clear skies and light southerly winds, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–10°C. Radiative cooling overnight in the absence of clouds or strong mixing will determine the precise minimum, with official station readings resolving the market. Milder-than-average air masses this late in winter have kept probabilities for 5°C or below low at 8.5%, while any unexpected increase in cloud cover or wind could push readings toward 12°C or higher. Traders are weighting model consensus heavily as the final 24-hour forecast window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$100Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate an overnight low near 11°C for Cape Town on August 31 under clear skies and light southerly winds, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–10°C. Radiative cooling overnight in the absence of clouds or strong mixing will determine the precise minimum, with official station readings resolving the market. Milder-than-average air masses this late in winter have kept probabilities for 5°C or below low at 8.5%, while any unexpected increase in cloud cover or wind could push readings toward 12°C or higher. Traders are weighting model consensus heavily as the final 24-hour forecast window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$100Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate an overnight low near 11°C for Cape Town on August 31 under clear skies and light southerly winds, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–10°C. Radiative cooling overnight in the absence of clouds or strong mixing will determine the precise minimum, with official station readings resolving the market. Milder-than-average air masses this late in winter have kept probabilities for 5°C or below low at 8.5%, while any unexpected increase in cloud cover or wind could push readings toward 12°C or higher. Traders are weighting model consensus heavily as the final 24-hour forecast window approaches.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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