Trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability (99.6%) to the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 30 reaching 6°C or below. This reflects current Southern Hemisphere winter conditions, with polar air advection and clear skies promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling that has driven model consensus toward minimums near or below seasonal norms of roughly 7°C. Official monitoring shows recent overnight lows already approaching single digits, aligning with the market-implied outcome. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum recorded at the central observatory. An unexpected warm advection or thicker cloud cover could raise readings above 6°C, though current atmospheric setup makes such reversal improbable before the close of the 24-hour period.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Buenos Aires le 30 août ?
La température la plus basse à Buenos Aires le 30 août ?
6°C ou moins 100.0%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
6°C ou moins
100%
7°C
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C ou plus
<1%
6°C ou moins 100.0%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
6°C ou moins
$934 Vol.
100%
7°C
$264 Vol.
1%
8°C
$281 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$271 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$224 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$72 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$89 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$72 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$77 Vol.
<1%
16°C ou plus
$73 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability (99.6%) to the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 30 reaching 6°C or below. This reflects current Southern Hemisphere winter conditions, with polar air advection and clear skies promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling that has driven model consensus toward minimums near or below seasonal norms of roughly 7°C. Official monitoring shows recent overnight lows already approaching single digits, aligning with the market-implied outcome. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum recorded at the central observatory. An unexpected warm advection or thicker cloud cover could raise readings above 6°C, though current atmospheric setup makes such reversal improbable before the close of the 24-hour period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Volume
$2,482Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability (99.6%) to the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 30 reaching 6°C or below. This reflects current Southern Hemisphere winter conditions, with polar air advection and clear skies promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling that has driven model consensus toward minimums near or below seasonal norms of roughly 7°C. Official monitoring shows recent overnight lows already approaching single digits, aligning with the market-implied outcome. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum recorded at the central observatory. An unexpected warm advection or thicker cloud cover could raise readings above 6°C, though current atmospheric setup makes such reversal improbable before the close of the 24-hour period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,482Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability (99.6%) to the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 30 reaching 6°C or below. This reflects current Southern Hemisphere winter conditions, with polar air advection and clear skies promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling that has driven model consensus toward minimums near or below seasonal norms of roughly 7°C. Official monitoring shows recent overnight lows already approaching single digits, aligning with the market-implied outcome. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum recorded at the central observatory. An unexpected warm advection or thicker cloud cover could raise readings above 6°C, though current atmospheric setup makes such reversal improbable before the close of the 24-hour period.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes