Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including NOAA and the China Meteorological Administration show Beijing under clear skies with light northeasterly flow on August 31, supporting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling to a minimum near 19 °C. This aligns with the climatological average low of 19.4 °C for the date and explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 17 °C and 19 °C. Small differences among leading outcomes reflect ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture, urban heat-island intensity, and exact wind speeds overnight, with no major synoptic changes expected before resolution. Traders appear to weigh the consensus forecast against typical model bias of ±1–2 °C for minimum temperatures in late-summer continental conditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Pékin le 31 août ?
La température la plus basse à Pékin le 31 août ?
21°C 50%
22°C 37%
18°C 28%
19°C 28%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
22%
16°C
26%
17°C
27%
18°C
28%
19°C
28%
20°C
26%
21°C
50%
22°C
37%
23°C or higher
<1%
21°C 50%
22°C 37%
18°C 28%
19°C 28%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
13°C or below
$705 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$145 Vol.
1%
15°C
$140 Vol.
22%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$0 Vol.
28%
19°C
$0 Vol.
28%
20°C
$0 Vol.
26%
21°C
$265 Vol.
50%
22°C
$156 Vol.
37%
23°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including NOAA and the China Meteorological Administration show Beijing under clear skies with light northeasterly flow on August 31, supporting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling to a minimum near 19 °C. This aligns with the climatological average low of 19.4 °C for the date and explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 17 °C and 19 °C. Small differences among leading outcomes reflect ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture, urban heat-island intensity, and exact wind speeds overnight, with no major synoptic changes expected before resolution. Traders appear to weigh the consensus forecast against typical model bias of ±1–2 °C for minimum temperatures in late-summer continental conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,416Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including NOAA and the China Meteorological Administration show Beijing under clear skies with light northeasterly flow on August 31, supporting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling to a minimum near 19 °C. This aligns with the climatological average low of 19.4 °C for the date and explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 17 °C and 19 °C. Small differences among leading outcomes reflect ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture, urban heat-island intensity, and exact wind speeds overnight, with no major synoptic changes expected before resolution. Traders appear to weigh the consensus forecast against typical model bias of ±1–2 °C for minimum temperatures in late-summer continental conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,416Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including NOAA and the China Meteorological Administration show Beijing under clear skies with light northeasterly flow on August 31, supporting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling to a minimum near 19 °C. This aligns with the climatological average low of 19.4 °C for the date and explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 17 °C and 19 °C. Small differences among leading outcomes reflect ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture, urban heat-island intensity, and exact wind speeds overnight, with no major synoptic changes expected before resolution. Traders appear to weigh the consensus forecast against typical model bias of ±1–2 °C for minimum temperatures in late-summer continental conditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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