Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF point to overnight lows in Amsterdam on September 21 centering near 12–15°C, driven by moderate westerly winds, building high pressure, and partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. These conditions contrast with historical September averages around 10.5°C and favor the market’s clustered probabilities at 12–14°C. Key differentiators among outcomes include model variations in exact wind speeds, cloud timing, and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift minimum readings by 1–2°C. With resolution hinging on official KNMI observations, traders weigh ensemble spreads and upcoming model runs for the final 48 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Amsterdam le 21 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Amsterdam le 21 septembre ?
12°C 40%
13°C 30%
11°C 19%
14°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 sept. 2026
7°C ou moins
2%
8°C
5%
9°C
7%
10°C
11%
11°C
19%
12°C
40%
13°C
30%
14°C
22%
15°C
11%
16°C
7%
17°C ou plus
5%
12°C 40%
13°C 30%
11°C 19%
14°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 sept. 2026
7°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
2%
8°C
$0 Vol.
5%
9°C
$0 Vol.
7%
10°C
$0 Vol.
11%
11°C
$6 Vol.
19%
12°C
$0 Vol.
40%
13°C
$0 Vol.
30%
14°C
$6 Vol.
22%
15°C
$0 Vol.
11%
16°C
$0 Vol.
7%
17°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF point to overnight lows in Amsterdam on September 21 centering near 12–15°C, driven by moderate westerly winds, building high pressure, and partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. These conditions contrast with historical September averages around 10.5°C and favor the market’s clustered probabilities at 12–14°C. Key differentiators among outcomes include model variations in exact wind speeds, cloud timing, and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift minimum readings by 1–2°C. With resolution hinging on official KNMI observations, traders weigh ensemble spreads and upcoming model runs for the final 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$12Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF point to overnight lows in Amsterdam on September 21 centering near 12–15°C, driven by moderate westerly winds, building high pressure, and partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. These conditions contrast with historical September averages around 10.5°C and favor the market’s clustered probabilities at 12–14°C. Key differentiators among outcomes include model variations in exact wind speeds, cloud timing, and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift minimum readings by 1–2°C. With resolution hinging on official KNMI observations, traders weigh ensemble spreads and upcoming model runs for the final 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF point to overnight lows in Amsterdam on September 21 centering near 12–15°C, driven by moderate westerly winds, building high pressure, and partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. These conditions contrast with historical September averages around 10.5°C and favor the market’s clustered probabilities at 12–14°C. Key differentiators among outcomes include model variations in exact wind speeds, cloud timing, and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift minimum readings by 1–2°C. With resolution hinging on official KNMI observations, traders weigh ensemble spreads and upcoming model runs for the final 48 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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