Kim Jong Un's unchallenged control over North Korea's Workers' Party, military command structure, and security services underpins the strong trader consensus that he will remain supreme leader through the end of 2026. Recent party congress proceedings and constitutional amendments have further entrenched his formal titles and authority, while public appearances alongside his daughter, positioned by intelligence assessments as the likely long-term successor, signal orderly internal planning rather than instability. No verified reports of acute health decline, elite defections, or coup attempts have surfaced in the past year. Even with this high implied probability, a sudden medical event, unforeseen power struggle among senior figures, or external shock could still trigger rapid change within the narrow remaining window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourKim Jong Un sortira en tant que Guide suprême de la Corée du Nord d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?
Kim Jong Un sortira en tant que Guide suprême de la Corée du Nord d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?
Oui
4% chance
$194,468 Vol.
$194,468 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
4% chance
$194,468 Vol.
$194,468 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kim Jong Un's unchallenged control over North Korea's Workers' Party, military command structure, and security services underpins the strong trader consensus that he will remain supreme leader through the end of 2026. Recent party congress proceedings and constitutional amendments have further entrenched his formal titles and authority, while public appearances alongside his daughter, positioned by intelligence assessments as the likely long-term successor, signal orderly internal planning rather than instability. No verified reports of acute health decline, elite defections, or coup attempts have surfaced in the past year. Even with this high implied probability, a sudden medical event, unforeseen power struggle among senior figures, or external shock could still trigger rapid change within the narrow remaining window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Nov 5, 2025, 1:38 PM ET
Volume
$194,468Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 1:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kim Jong Un's unchallenged control over North Korea's Workers' Party, military command structure, and security services underpins the strong trader consensus that he will remain supreme leader through the end of 2026. Recent party congress proceedings and constitutional amendments have further entrenched his formal titles and authority, while public appearances alongside his daughter, positioned by intelligence assessments as the likely long-term successor, signal orderly internal planning rather than instability. No verified reports of acute health decline, elite defections, or coup attempts have surfaced in the past year. Even with this high implied probability, a sudden medical event, unforeseen power struggle among senior figures, or external shock could still trigger rapid change within the narrow remaining window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$194,468Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 1:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kim Jong Un's unchallenged control over North Korea's Workers' Party, military command structure, and security services underpins the strong trader consensus that he will remain supreme leader through the end of 2026. Recent party congress proceedings and constitutional amendments have further entrenched his formal titles and authority, while public appearances alongside his daughter, positioned by intelligence assessments as the likely long-term successor, signal orderly internal planning rather than instability. No verified reports of acute health decline, elite defections, or coup attempts have surfaced in the past year. Even with this high implied probability, a sudden medical event, unforeseen power struggle among senior figures, or external shock could still trigger rapid change within the narrow remaining window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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