Recent June 2026 CPI data showed headline inflation decelerating sharply to 3.5% year-over-year from 4.2% in May, reflecting cooling energy prices and base effects that have anchored near-term expectations. This release has tightened trader consensus around a July reading near 3.5–3.6%, as reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds across those bins. Persistent services inflation and potential commodity volatility remain swing factors that could push outcomes higher or lower ahead of the mid-August BLS release. With probabilities clustered tightly around the latest print, the market prices in moderate uncertainty typical of monthly inflation prints, where small deviations in food, energy, or shelter components can shift the final figure.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour3,4 % 46%
3,3 % 27%
3,5 % 22%
3,2 % 6.5%
$44,949 Vol.
$44,949 Vol.
12 août 2026
≤3,1 %
2%
3,2 %
6%
3,3 %
27%
3,4 %
46%
3,5 %
22%
3,6 %
2%
3,7 %
1%
3,8 %
1%
3,9 %
<1%
4,0 %
1%
4,1 %
1%
≥4,2 %
1%
3,4 % 46%
3,3 % 27%
3,5 % 22%
3,2 % 6.5%
$44,949 Vol.
$44,949 Vol.
12 août 2026
≤3,1 %
$2,142 Vol.
2%
3,2 %
$2,839 Vol.
6%
3,3 %
$13,401 Vol.
27%
3,4 %
$11,072 Vol.
46%
3,5 %
$6,466 Vol.
22%
3,6 %
$1,968 Vol.
2%
3,7 %
$1,271 Vol.
1%
3,8 %
$1,196 Vol.
1%
3,9 %
$1,094 Vol.
<1%
4,0 %
$1,225 Vol.
1%
4,1 %
$1,041 Vol.
1%
≥4,2 %
$1,234 Vol.
1%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent June 2026 CPI data showed headline inflation decelerating sharply to 3.5% year-over-year from 4.2% in May, reflecting cooling energy prices and base effects that have anchored near-term expectations. This release has tightened trader consensus around a July reading near 3.5–3.6%, as reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds across those bins. Persistent services inflation and potential commodity volatility remain swing factors that could push outcomes higher or lower ahead of the mid-August BLS release. With probabilities clustered tightly around the latest print, the market prices in moderate uncertainty typical of monthly inflation prints, where small deviations in food, energy, or shelter components can shift the final figure.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Marché ouvert : Jul 14, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
Volume
$44,949Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 14, 2026, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent June 2026 CPI data showed headline inflation decelerating sharply to 3.5% year-over-year from 4.2% in May, reflecting cooling energy prices and base effects that have anchored near-term expectations. This release has tightened trader consensus around a July reading near 3.5–3.6%, as reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds across those bins. Persistent services inflation and potential commodity volatility remain swing factors that could push outcomes higher or lower ahead of the mid-August BLS release. With probabilities clustered tightly around the latest print, the market prices in moderate uncertainty typical of monthly inflation prints, where small deviations in food, energy, or shelter components can shift the final figure.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$44,949Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 14, 2026, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent June 2026 CPI data showed headline inflation decelerating sharply to 3.5% year-over-year from 4.2% in May, reflecting cooling energy prices and base effects that have anchored near-term expectations. This release has tightened trader consensus around a July reading near 3.5–3.6%, as reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds across those bins. Persistent services inflation and potential commodity volatility remain swing factors that could push outcomes higher or lower ahead of the mid-August BLS release. With probabilities clustered tightly around the latest print, the market prices in moderate uncertainty typical of monthly inflation prints, where small deviations in food, energy, or shelter components can shift the final figure.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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