Skip to main content
icon for Le bœuf haché atteindra-t-il __ en 2026 ?
Économie·Indicateurs Macro

Le bœuf haché atteindra-t-il __ en 2026 ?

icon for Le bœuf haché atteindra-t-il __ en 2026 ?
Économie·Indicateurs Macro

Le bœuf haché atteindra-t-il __ en 2026 ?

$21,296 Vol.

31 déc. 2026
Polymarket

$21,296 Vol.

Polymarket

7,000 $+

$59 Vol.

50%

8,000 $+

$1,918 Vol.

37%

9,000 $+

$740 Vol.

27%

10 000 $+

$18,579 Vol.

26%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time. The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight U.S. cattle supplies, with the national herd at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 2026, remain the dominant driver of elevated ground beef prices. The smallest calf crop since 1941 and ongoing herd contraction have supported retail averages near $6.83 per pound through June 2026, following a 19% year-over-year increase into late 2025. USDA projections indicate wholesale beef prices will rise an additional 6.9% this year amid resilient consumer demand and limited near-term herd rebuilding, which is biologically constrained until at least 2027. Short-term wholesale fluctuations in August reflect seasonal factors, yet the multi-year supply deficit continues to underpin market-implied odds for sustained or higher price thresholds through year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.

The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$21,296
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time. The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time. The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight U.S. cattle supplies, with the national herd at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 2026, remain the dominant driver of elevated ground beef prices. The smallest calf crop since 1941 and ongoing herd contraction have supported retail averages near $6.83 per pound through June 2026, following a 19% year-over-year increase into late 2025. USDA projections indicate wholesale beef prices will rise an additional 6.9% this year amid resilient consumer demand and limited near-term herd rebuilding, which is biologically constrained until at least 2027. Short-term wholesale fluctuations in August reflect seasonal factors, yet the multi-year supply deficit continues to underpin market-implied odds for sustained or higher price thresholds through year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.

The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$21,296
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time. The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Connexes

icon for L'inflation atteindra-t-elle plus de 4,5 % en 2026 ?

L'inflation atteindra-t-elle plus de 4,5 % en 2026 ?

22%
Oui
icon for Est-ce qu'une douzaine d'œufs coûtera entre 2,00 $ et 2,25 $ en juillet ?

Est-ce qu'une douzaine d'œufs coûtera entre 2,00 $ et 2,25 $ en juillet ?

95%
Oui
icon for L’IPC de base en glissement mensuel sera-t-il de 0,2 % en juillet ?

L’IPC de base en glissement mensuel sera-t-il de 0,2 % en juillet ?

54%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Le bœuf haché atteindra-t-il __ en 2026 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 7,000 $+ » à 50%, suivi de « 8,000 $+ » à 37%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 50¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 50% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Le bœuf haché atteindra-t-il __ en 2026 ? » a généré $21.3K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 3, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Le bœuf haché atteindra-t-il __ en 2026 ? », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Le bœuf haché atteindra-t-il __ en 2026 ? » est « 7,000 $+ » à 50%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 50% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 8,000 $+ » à 37%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Le bœuf haché atteindra-t-il __ en 2026 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.