Recent softening in US labor market data has created balanced but dispersed trader sentiment around the July 2026 JOLTS release, scheduled for September 1. June job openings fell 178,000 to 7.359 million—below the 7.40 million consensus—with notable declines in healthcare, leisure, and wholesale sectors. The July employment report showed nonfarm payrolls contracting by 23,000, well short of the 80,000 expected, reinforcing cooling demand signals. These developments have compressed probabilities across the 7.1M–7.7M range (each 13–16%), reflecting uncertainty over whether the downward trend from May’s 7.59 million level will persist or stabilize. Key swing factors include upcoming August employment indicators, potential seasonal adjustments, and any revisions to prior BLS figures, as traders weigh the implications for Fed policy expectations amid mixed hiring and separations trends.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour7,2M-7,3M 17%
7,4M-7,5M 16%
7,3M-7,4M 15%
7,1 M-7,2 M 13.4%
$10,592 Vol.
$10,592 Vol.
1 sept. 2026
<7,1M
16%
7,1 M-7,2 M
13%
7,2M-7,3M
17%
7,3M-7,4M
22%
7,4M-7,5M
16%
7,5M-7,6M
9%
7,6M-7,7M
18%
7,7M+
1%
7,2M-7,3M 17%
7,4M-7,5M 16%
7,3M-7,4M 15%
7,1 M-7,2 M 13.4%
$10,592 Vol.
$10,592 Vol.
1 sept. 2026
<7,1M
$239 Vol.
16%
7,1 M-7,2 M
$233 Vol.
13%
7,2M-7,3M
$1,311 Vol.
17%
7,3M-7,4M
$3,007 Vol.
22%
7,4M-7,5M
$1,508 Vol.
16%
7,5M-7,6M
$2,366 Vol.
9%
7,6M-7,7M
$354 Vol.
18%
7,7M+
$1,575 Vol.
1%
This is a market about the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings in the United States in July 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS).
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent softening in US labor market data has created balanced but dispersed trader sentiment around the July 2026 JOLTS release, scheduled for September 1. June job openings fell 178,000 to 7.359 million—below the 7.40 million consensus—with notable declines in healthcare, leisure, and wholesale sectors. The July employment report showed nonfarm payrolls contracting by 23,000, well short of the 80,000 expected, reinforcing cooling demand signals. These developments have compressed probabilities across the 7.1M–7.7M range (each 13–16%), reflecting uncertainty over whether the downward trend from May’s 7.59 million level will persist or stabilize. Key swing factors include upcoming August employment indicators, potential seasonal adjustments, and any revisions to prior BLS figures, as traders weigh the implications for Fed policy expectations amid mixed hiring and separations trends.
This is a market about the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings in the United States in July 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS).
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Volume
$10,592Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings in the United States in July 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS).
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent softening in US labor market data has created balanced but dispersed trader sentiment around the July 2026 JOLTS release, scheduled for September 1. June job openings fell 178,000 to 7.359 million—below the 7.40 million consensus—with notable declines in healthcare, leisure, and wholesale sectors. The July employment report showed nonfarm payrolls contracting by 23,000, well short of the 80,000 expected, reinforcing cooling demand signals. These developments have compressed probabilities across the 7.1M–7.7M range (each 13–16%), reflecting uncertainty over whether the downward trend from May’s 7.59 million level will persist or stabilize. Key swing factors include upcoming August employment indicators, potential seasonal adjustments, and any revisions to prior BLS figures, as traders weigh the implications for Fed policy expectations amid mixed hiring and separations trends.
This is a market about the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings in the United States in July 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS).
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$10,592Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent softening in US labor market data has created balanced but dispersed trader sentiment around the July 2026 JOLTS release, scheduled for September 1. June job openings fell 178,000 to 7.359 million—below the 7.40 million consensus—with notable declines in healthcare, leisure, and wholesale sectors. The July employment report showed nonfarm payrolls contracting by 23,000, well short of the 80,000 expected, reinforcing cooling demand signals. These developments have compressed probabilities across the 7.1M–7.7M range (each 13–16%), reflecting uncertainty over whether the downward trend from May’s 7.59 million level will persist or stabilize. Key swing factors include upcoming August employment indicators, potential seasonal adjustments, and any revisions to prior BLS figures, as traders weigh the implications for Fed policy expectations amid mixed hiring and separations trends.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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