NOAA and Colorado State University forecasts for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season project below-normal activity, with 3-6 hurricanes expected amid a strengthening El Niño that increases wind shear and suppresses tropical cyclogenesis. As of early August, only two named storms—Arthur and Bertha—have formed, with zero hurricanes recorded so far against an average of seven. This early inactivity and model consensus favoring reduced formation through November support trader emphasis on the 1-3 or 4-6 ranges, though peak-season conditions and potential forecast revisions from the National Hurricane Center could still shift outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCombien d'ouragans se formeront pendant la saison des ouragans de l'Atlantique en 2026 ?
Combien d'ouragans se formeront pendant la saison des ouragans de l'Atlantique en 2026 ?
1-3 48%
4-6 37%
7+ 32%
0 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
0
8%
1-3
48%
4-6
37%
7+
32%
1-3 48%
4-6 37%
7+ 32%
0 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
0
$58 Vol.
8%
1-3
$0 Vol.
48%
4-6
$0 Vol.
37%
7+
$0 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.NOAA and Colorado State University forecasts for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season project below-normal activity, with 3-6 hurricanes expected amid a strengthening El Niño that increases wind shear and suppresses tropical cyclogenesis. As of early August, only two named storms—Arthur and Bertha—have formed, with zero hurricanes recorded so far against an average of seven. This early inactivity and model consensus favoring reduced formation through November support trader emphasis on the 1-3 or 4-6 ranges, though peak-season conditions and potential forecast revisions from the National Hurricane Center could still shift outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
Marché ouvert : Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
Volume
$58Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.NOAA and Colorado State University forecasts for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season project below-normal activity, with 3-6 hurricanes expected amid a strengthening El Niño that increases wind shear and suppresses tropical cyclogenesis. As of early August, only two named storms—Arthur and Bertha—have formed, with zero hurricanes recorded so far against an average of seven. This early inactivity and model consensus favoring reduced formation through November support trader emphasis on the 1-3 or 4-6 ranges, though peak-season conditions and potential forecast revisions from the National Hurricane Center could still shift outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
Volume
$58Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...NOAA and Colorado State University forecasts for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season project below-normal activity, with 3-6 hurricanes expected amid a strengthening El Niño that increases wind shear and suppresses tropical cyclogenesis. As of early August, only two named storms—Arthur and Bertha—have formed, with zero hurricanes recorded so far against an average of seven. This early inactivity and model consensus favoring reduced formation through November support trader emphasis on the 1-3 or 4-6 ranges, though peak-season conditions and potential forecast revisions from the National Hurricane Center could still shift outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes