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icon for Combien de cartes d'or Trump vendra-t-il en 2026 ?

Combien de cartes d'or Trump vendra-t-il en 2026 ?

icon for Combien de cartes d'or Trump vendra-t-il en 2026 ?

Combien de cartes d'or Trump vendra-t-il en 2026 ?

déc. 31

déc. 31

1-100 82.9%

101-1 000 5.6%

>100k 4.0%

1 000 à 2 500 3.4%

Polymarket

$290,545 Vol.

1-100 82.9%

101-1 000 5.6%

>100k 4.0%

1 000 à 2 500 3.4%

Polymarket

$290,545 Vol.

1-100

$18,142 Vol.

83%

101-1 000

$41,310 Vol.

6%

1 000 à 2 500

$11,028 Vol.

3%

2,5k-5k

$10,502 Vol.

2%

5k-10k

$11,951 Vol.

<1%

10k-25k

$116,824 Vol.

2%

25k-100k

$10,889 Vol.

1%

>100k

$25,471 Vol.

4%

Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump Gold Card program, established by executive order in September 2025, offers expedited EB-1 or EB-2 residency pathways in exchange for a $1 million contribution to the Department of Commerce plus a $15,000 processing fee, subject to DHS vetting and security reviews. Trader consensus heavily favors the 1-100 outcome because the initiative remains in early implementation as of August 2026, with ongoing OMB form reviews, USCIS petition procedures still pending full rollout, and reported lawsuits creating procedural uncertainty. No verified issuances have occurred publicly, and annual visa category limits plus individual background checks constrain volume even after any mid-2026 launch. These structural and timing factors position low-volume results as the dominant expectation reflected in current pricing.

Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.

This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$290,545
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump Gold Card program, established by executive order in September 2025, offers expedited EB-1 or EB-2 residency pathways in exchange for a $1 million contribution to the Department of Commerce plus a $15,000 processing fee, subject to DHS vetting and security reviews. Trader consensus heavily favors the 1-100 outcome because the initiative remains in early implementation as of August 2026, with ongoing OMB form reviews, USCIS petition procedures still pending full rollout, and reported lawsuits creating procedural uncertainty. No verified issuances have occurred publicly, and annual visa category limits plus individual background checks constrain volume even after any mid-2026 launch. These structural and timing factors position low-volume results as the dominant expectation reflected in current pricing.

Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.

This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$290,545
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.

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Questions fréquentes

« Combien de cartes d'or Trump vendra-t-il en 2026 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 9 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 1-100 » à 83%, suivi de « 101-1 000 » à 6%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 83¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 83% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Combien de cartes d'or Trump vendra-t-il en 2026 ? » a généré $290.5K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Nov 5, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Combien de cartes d'or Trump vendra-t-il en 2026 ? », parcourez les 9 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Combien de cartes d'or Trump vendra-t-il en 2026 ? » est « 1-100 » à 83%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 83% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 101-1 000 » à 6%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Combien de cartes d'or Trump vendra-t-il en 2026 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.