Recent national polls place President Trump's job approval in the low-to-mid 30s, with aggregates near 37-38 percent amid ongoing pressures from elevated fuel costs, inflation concerns, and the protracted Iran conflict. Trader sentiment for the August 21 reading clusters tightly around 38 percent because no single high-profile survey or economic release has yet produced a decisive shift in the days leading up to the resolution date. Fresh polling data, further movement in gasoline prices, or diplomatic updates from the Middle East could widen the distribution by altering the final inputs used to determine the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNote d'approbation de Trump le 21 août ?
38,0–38,4 40%
37,5–37,9 37%
39,0+ 37%
<37,0 37%
<37,0
37%
37,0–37,4
37%
37,5–37,9
37%
38,0–38,4
40%
38,5–38,9
37%
39,0+
37%
38,0–38,4 40%
37,5–37,9 37%
39,0+ 37%
<37,0 37%
<37,0
37%
37,0–37,4
37%
37,5–37,9
37%
38,0–38,4
40%
38,5–38,9
37%
39,0+
37%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 5:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent national polls place President Trump's job approval in the low-to-mid 30s, with aggregates near 37-38 percent amid ongoing pressures from elevated fuel costs, inflation concerns, and the protracted Iran conflict. Trader sentiment for the August 21 reading clusters tightly around 38 percent because no single high-profile survey or economic release has yet produced a decisive shift in the days leading up to the resolution date. Fresh polling data, further movement in gasoline prices, or diplomatic updates from the Middle East could widen the distribution by altering the final inputs used to determine the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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