Recent polling aggregates place President Trump's approval rating in the mid-to-high 37 percent range, with minor fluctuations driven by sustained public concern over the administration's Iran policy following renewed strikes in mid-July and persistent dissatisfaction with inflation and cost-of-living trends. These factors have kept net approval at second-term lows near -21, producing a narrow band of outcomes clustered around 37–39 percent in the days leading to the August 14 reading. Trader positioning reflects the stability of this range absent major new catalysts, while any near-term diplomatic signals on Iran or economic data releases could shift individual buckets within the tight consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour37,0–37,4 38%
37,5–37,9 38%
38,0–38,4 38%
38,5–38,9 37%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 août 2026
<37,0
16%
37,0–37,4
38%
37,5–37,9
38%
38,0–38,4
38%
38,5–38,9
37%
39,0+
37%
37,0–37,4 38%
37,5–37,9 38%
38,0–38,4 38%
38,5–38,9 37%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 août 2026
<37,0
$0 Vol.
16%
37,0–37,4
$0 Vol.
38%
37,5–37,9
$0 Vol.
38%
38,0–38,4
$0 Vol.
38%
38,5–38,9
$0 Vol.
37%
39,0+
$0 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates place President Trump's approval rating in the mid-to-high 37 percent range, with minor fluctuations driven by sustained public concern over the administration's Iran policy following renewed strikes in mid-July and persistent dissatisfaction with inflation and cost-of-living trends. These factors have kept net approval at second-term lows near -21, producing a narrow band of outcomes clustered around 37–39 percent in the days leading to the August 14 reading. Trader positioning reflects the stability of this range absent major new catalysts, while any near-term diplomatic signals on Iran or economic data releases could shift individual buckets within the tight consensus.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marché ouvert : Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates place President Trump's approval rating in the mid-to-high 37 percent range, with minor fluctuations driven by sustained public concern over the administration's Iran policy following renewed strikes in mid-July and persistent dissatisfaction with inflation and cost-of-living trends. These factors have kept net approval at second-term lows near -21, producing a narrow band of outcomes clustered around 37–39 percent in the days leading to the August 14 reading. Trader positioning reflects the stability of this range absent major new catalysts, while any near-term diplomatic signals on Iran or economic data releases could shift individual buckets within the tight consensus.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$0Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates place President Trump's approval rating in the mid-to-high 37 percent range, with minor fluctuations driven by sustained public concern over the administration's Iran policy following renewed strikes in mid-July and persistent dissatisfaction with inflation and cost-of-living trends. These factors have kept net approval at second-term lows near -21, producing a narrow band of outcomes clustered around 37–39 percent in the days leading to the August 14 reading. Trader positioning reflects the stability of this range absent major new catalysts, while any near-term diplomatic signals on Iran or economic data releases could shift individual buckets within the tight consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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