Recent weather model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF points to a daytime high of 20–21°C in Warsaw on September 14, driven by light southerly to southwesterly flow under mostly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation and stable high pressure. Overnight lows near 13–15°C and modest daytime warming from September 13 conditions support this narrow range, consistent with mid-September climatology for the region. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on 19–21°C outcomes, reflecting ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 14 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 14 septembre ?
20°C 47%
21°C 31%
19°C 19%
22°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 sept. 2026
13°C ou moins
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
19%
20°C
47%
21°C
31%
22°C
6%
23°C ou plus
1%
20°C 47%
21°C 31%
19°C 19%
22°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 sept. 2026
13°C ou moins
$237 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$142 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$72 Vol.
1%
16°C
$56 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$153 Vol.
2%
18°C
$146 Vol.
4%
19°C
$1,212 Vol.
19%
20°C
$1,081 Vol.
47%
21°C
$1,432 Vol.
31%
22°C
$139 Vol.
6%
23°C ou plus
$131 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF points to a daytime high of 20–21°C in Warsaw on September 14, driven by light southerly to southwesterly flow under mostly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation and stable high pressure. Overnight lows near 13–15°C and modest daytime warming from September 13 conditions support this narrow range, consistent with mid-September climatology for the region. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on 19–21°C outcomes, reflecting ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$4,802Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF points to a daytime high of 20–21°C in Warsaw on September 14, driven by light southerly to southwesterly flow under mostly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation and stable high pressure. Overnight lows near 13–15°C and modest daytime warming from September 13 conditions support this narrow range, consistent with mid-September climatology for the region. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on 19–21°C outcomes, reflecting ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,802Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF points to a daytime high of 20–21°C in Warsaw on September 14, driven by light southerly to southwesterly flow under mostly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation and stable high pressure. Overnight lows near 13–15°C and modest daytime warming from September 13 conditions support this narrow range, consistent with mid-September climatology for the region. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on 19–21°C outcomes, reflecting ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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