Recent ensemble forecasts from models including GFS and ICON-EU indicate a maximum temperature in Warsaw on September 12 most likely between 18–20°C under stable high pressure, light to moderate westerly winds, and partly cloudy conditions that limit daytime heating. Trader consensus clusters on these outcomes because the short-range outlook shows minimal precipitation risk and consistent steering patterns, with only modest differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical September maxima near 18–20°C provide additional context, while upcoming model runs and afternoon observations will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 12 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 12 septembre ?
19°C 39%
20°C 30%
18°C 23%
21°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 sept. 2026
15°C ou moins
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
4%
18°C
23%
19°C
39%
20°C
30%
21°C
8%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C ou plus
<1%
19°C 39%
20°C 30%
18°C 23%
21°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 sept. 2026
15°C ou moins
$40 Vol.
2%
16°C
$31 Vol.
3%
17°C
$9 Vol.
4%
18°C
$430 Vol.
23%
19°C
$63 Vol.
39%
20°C
$928 Vol.
30%
21°C
$23 Vol.
8%
22°C
$18 Vol.
3%
23°C
$57 Vol.
1%
24°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
25°C ou plus
$425 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models including GFS and ICON-EU indicate a maximum temperature in Warsaw on September 12 most likely between 18–20°C under stable high pressure, light to moderate westerly winds, and partly cloudy conditions that limit daytime heating. Trader consensus clusters on these outcomes because the short-range outlook shows minimal precipitation risk and consistent steering patterns, with only modest differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical September maxima near 18–20°C provide additional context, while upcoming model runs and afternoon observations will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$2,129Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models including GFS and ICON-EU indicate a maximum temperature in Warsaw on September 12 most likely between 18–20°C under stable high pressure, light to moderate westerly winds, and partly cloudy conditions that limit daytime heating. Trader consensus clusters on these outcomes because the short-range outlook shows minimal precipitation risk and consistent steering patterns, with only modest differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical September maxima near 18–20°C provide additional context, while upcoming model runs and afternoon observations will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,129Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models including GFS and ICON-EU indicate a maximum temperature in Warsaw on September 12 most likely between 18–20°C under stable high pressure, light to moderate westerly winds, and partly cloudy conditions that limit daytime heating. Trader consensus clusters on these outcomes because the short-range outlook shows minimal precipitation risk and consistent steering patterns, with only modest differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical September maxima near 18–20°C provide additional context, while upcoming model runs and afternoon observations will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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