**Ongoing heatwave conditions across the Korean Peninsula, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and weak monsoon flow, are the main factor anchoring trader consensus around 33–35°C for the Seoul-Incheon maximum on August 9.** Recent KMA and international model runs show daytime highs near 34°C under mostly clear skies, with limited cloud cover and light easterly winds moderating coastal Incheon readings relative to inland Seoul. Urban heat-island effects and high humidity (dew points supporting heat indices well above air temperature) keep the distribution tight, while ensemble spread in guidance creates the near-even split between 33°C and 35°C outcomes. A slight cooling trend is already evident in extended forecasts compared with peak values near 39°C earlier in the week, reflecting gradual eastward progression of the ridge. Updated model runs and KMA 3-hourly guidance through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Séoul (Incheon) le 9 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Séoul (Incheon) le 9 août ?
34°C 36%
33°C 26%
35°C 19%
32°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 août 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
7%
33°C
26%
34°C
36%
35°C
19%
36°C
6%
37°C
2%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
34°C 36%
33°C 26%
35°C 19%
32°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 août 2026
29°C or below
$130 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$46 Vol.
1%
31°C
$69 Vol.
5%
32°C
$20 Vol.
7%
33°C
$78 Vol.
26%
34°C
$122 Vol.
36%
35°C
$146 Vol.
19%
36°C
$139 Vol.
6%
37°C
$74 Vol.
2%
38°C
$9 Vol.
2%
39°C or higher
$305 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Ongoing heatwave conditions across the Korean Peninsula, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and weak monsoon flow, are the main factor anchoring trader consensus around 33–35°C for the Seoul-Incheon maximum on August 9.** Recent KMA and international model runs show daytime highs near 34°C under mostly clear skies, with limited cloud cover and light easterly winds moderating coastal Incheon readings relative to inland Seoul. Urban heat-island effects and high humidity (dew points supporting heat indices well above air temperature) keep the distribution tight, while ensemble spread in guidance creates the near-even split between 33°C and 35°C outcomes. A slight cooling trend is already evident in extended forecasts compared with peak values near 39°C earlier in the week, reflecting gradual eastward progression of the ridge. Updated model runs and KMA 3-hourly guidance through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$1,138Date de fin
9 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Ongoing heatwave conditions across the Korean Peninsula, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and weak monsoon flow, are the main factor anchoring trader consensus around 33–35°C for the Seoul-Incheon maximum on August 9.** Recent KMA and international model runs show daytime highs near 34°C under mostly clear skies, with limited cloud cover and light easterly winds moderating coastal Incheon readings relative to inland Seoul. Urban heat-island effects and high humidity (dew points supporting heat indices well above air temperature) keep the distribution tight, while ensemble spread in guidance creates the near-even split between 33°C and 35°C outcomes. A slight cooling trend is already evident in extended forecasts compared with peak values near 39°C earlier in the week, reflecting gradual eastward progression of the ridge. Updated model runs and KMA 3-hourly guidance through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,138Date de fin
9 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Ongoing heatwave conditions across the Korean Peninsula, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and weak monsoon flow, are the main factor anchoring trader consensus around 33–35°C for the Seoul-Incheon maximum on August 9.** Recent KMA and international model runs show daytime highs near 34°C under mostly clear skies, with limited cloud cover and light easterly winds moderating coastal Incheon readings relative to inland Seoul. Urban heat-island effects and high humidity (dew points supporting heat indices well above air temperature) keep the distribution tight, while ensemble spread in guidance creates the near-even split between 33°C and 35°C outcomes. A slight cooling trend is already evident in extended forecasts compared with peak values near 39°C earlier in the week, reflecting gradual eastward progression of the ridge. Updated model runs and KMA 3-hourly guidance through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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