Latest National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 91–94°F in Miami on August 20, driven by a weakening upper-level ridge allowing increased moisture and sea-breeze-driven instability. Afternoon thunderstorms are expected to develop earlier than in recent days, limiting peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling despite heat indices potentially exceeding 105°F beforehand. This creates tight differentiation between the market’s leading 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins, as small shifts in storm initiation timing or coverage—governed by low-level convergence and CAPE values—can alter the daily maximum by 1–3°F. Historical normals near 91°F and recent record-challenging heat underscore the sensitivity of the outcome to these mesoscale factors, with final verification from Miami International Airport observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Miami le 20 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Miami le 20 août ?
92-93°F 48%
94-95°F 41%
90-91°F 7%
96-97°F 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 août 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
48%
94-95°F
41%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F ou plus
<1%
92-93°F 48%
94-95°F 41%
90-91°F 7%
96-97°F 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 août 2026
83°F or below
$125 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$362 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$682 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$612 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$1,316 Vol.
7%
92-93°F
$1,791 Vol.
48%
94-95°F
$1,483 Vol.
41%
96-97°F
$1,953 Vol.
6%
98-99°F
$317 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$112 Vol.
<1%
102°F ou plus
$45 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 91–94°F in Miami on August 20, driven by a weakening upper-level ridge allowing increased moisture and sea-breeze-driven instability. Afternoon thunderstorms are expected to develop earlier than in recent days, limiting peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling despite heat indices potentially exceeding 105°F beforehand. This creates tight differentiation between the market’s leading 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins, as small shifts in storm initiation timing or coverage—governed by low-level convergence and CAPE values—can alter the daily maximum by 1–3°F. Historical normals near 91°F and recent record-challenging heat underscore the sensitivity of the outcome to these mesoscale factors, with final verification from Miami International Airport observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volume
$8,798Date de fin
20 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 91–94°F in Miami on August 20, driven by a weakening upper-level ridge allowing increased moisture and sea-breeze-driven instability. Afternoon thunderstorms are expected to develop earlier than in recent days, limiting peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling despite heat indices potentially exceeding 105°F beforehand. This creates tight differentiation between the market’s leading 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins, as small shifts in storm initiation timing or coverage—governed by low-level convergence and CAPE values—can alter the daily maximum by 1–3°F. Historical normals near 91°F and recent record-challenging heat underscore the sensitivity of the outcome to these mesoscale factors, with final verification from Miami International Airport observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,798Date de fin
20 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 91–94°F in Miami on August 20, driven by a weakening upper-level ridge allowing increased moisture and sea-breeze-driven instability. Afternoon thunderstorms are expected to develop earlier than in recent days, limiting peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling despite heat indices potentially exceeding 105°F beforehand. This creates tight differentiation between the market’s leading 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins, as small shifts in storm initiation timing or coverage—governed by low-level convergence and CAPE values—can alter the daily maximum by 1–3°F. Historical normals near 91°F and recent record-challenging heat underscore the sensitivity of the outcome to these mesoscale factors, with final verification from Miami International Airport observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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