The market-implied odds heavily favor a Houston high of 92-93°F on August 11 because National Weather Service observations and NOAA model guidance have consistently projected a peak in that narrow range under typical late-summer conditions. Weak steering flow and above-average Gulf moisture are supporting afternoon temperatures near the seasonal norm without strong capping or enhanced mixing that would push readings higher. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with ensemble means clustered around 92°F and only small perturbations possible from localized sea-breeze effects. A late-day cold front or significant model error could still shift the outcome, though current data indicate those scenarios remain low-probability through resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Houston le 11 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Houston le 11 août ?
92-93°F 99.6%
94-95 °F <1%
96-97°F <1%
98-99°F <1%
$45,114 Vol.
$45,114 Vol.
11 août 2026
83°F ou moins
<1%
84-85 °F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
32-33°C
<1%
92-93°F
100%
94-95 °F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F ou plus
<1%
92-93°F 99.6%
94-95 °F <1%
96-97°F <1%
98-99°F <1%
$45,114 Vol.
$45,114 Vol.
11 août 2026
83°F ou moins
$270 Vol.
<1%
84-85 °F
$255 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$973 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$1,510 Vol.
<1%
32-33°C
$5,889 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$14,093 Vol.
100%
94-95 °F
$9,853 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$4,798 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$3,779 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$492 Vol.
<1%
102°F ou plus
$3,202 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds heavily favor a Houston high of 92-93°F on August 11 because National Weather Service observations and NOAA model guidance have consistently projected a peak in that narrow range under typical late-summer conditions. Weak steering flow and above-average Gulf moisture are supporting afternoon temperatures near the seasonal norm without strong capping or enhanced mixing that would push readings higher. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with ensemble means clustered around 92°F and only small perturbations possible from localized sea-breeze effects. A late-day cold front or significant model error could still shift the outcome, though current data indicate those scenarios remain low-probability through resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$45,114Date de fin
11 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds heavily favor a Houston high of 92-93°F on August 11 because National Weather Service observations and NOAA model guidance have consistently projected a peak in that narrow range under typical late-summer conditions. Weak steering flow and above-average Gulf moisture are supporting afternoon temperatures near the seasonal norm without strong capping or enhanced mixing that would push readings higher. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with ensemble means clustered around 92°F and only small perturbations possible from localized sea-breeze effects. A late-day cold front or significant model error could still shift the outcome, though current data indicate those scenarios remain low-probability through resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$45,114Date de fin
11 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market-implied odds heavily favor a Houston high of 92-93°F on August 11 because National Weather Service observations and NOAA model guidance have consistently projected a peak in that narrow range under typical late-summer conditions. Weak steering flow and above-average Gulf moisture are supporting afternoon temperatures near the seasonal norm without strong capping or enhanced mixing that would push readings higher. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with ensemble means clustered around 92°F and only small perturbations possible from localized sea-breeze effects. A late-day cold front or significant model error could still shift the outcome, though current data indicate those scenarios remain low-probability through resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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