Hong Kong's forecast for August 9 centers on a mainly fine day with maximum temperatures expected near 35–36°C, according to the Hong Kong Observatory's 9-day outlook of 29–36°C and supporting global model guidance. Traders assign the highest probabilities to these thresholds because recent runs show limited cloud cover and light winds allowing strong solar heating, while isolated afternoon showers or thunderstorms could suppress peaks below 37°C. Above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by long-term warming trends and current synoptic patterns add modest upside risk, yet typical August humidity and convective activity create genuine uncertainty around the exact high. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing will likely refine these market-implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 9 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 9 août ?
35°C 38%
36°C 31%
37°C 18%
34°C 13%
NOUVEAU
$11,820 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$11,820 Vol.
9 août 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
13%
35°C
38%
36°C
31%
37°C
18%
38°C
4%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 38%
36°C 31%
37°C 18%
34°C 13%
NOUVEAU
$11,820 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$11,820 Vol.
9 août 2026
31°C or below
$598 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,762 Vol.
1%
33°C
$1,007 Vol.
3%
34°C
$1,221 Vol.
13%
35°C
$2,002 Vol.
38%
36°C
$1,242 Vol.
31%
37°C
$1,199 Vol.
18%
38°C
$1,610 Vol.
4%
39°C
$408 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$382 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$390 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's forecast for August 9 centers on a mainly fine day with maximum temperatures expected near 35–36°C, according to the Hong Kong Observatory's 9-day outlook of 29–36°C and supporting global model guidance. Traders assign the highest probabilities to these thresholds because recent runs show limited cloud cover and light winds allowing strong solar heating, while isolated afternoon showers or thunderstorms could suppress peaks below 37°C. Above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by long-term warming trends and current synoptic patterns add modest upside risk, yet typical August humidity and convective activity create genuine uncertainty around the exact high. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing will likely refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$11,820Date de fin
9 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's forecast for August 9 centers on a mainly fine day with maximum temperatures expected near 35–36°C, according to the Hong Kong Observatory's 9-day outlook of 29–36°C and supporting global model guidance. Traders assign the highest probabilities to these thresholds because recent runs show limited cloud cover and light winds allowing strong solar heating, while isolated afternoon showers or thunderstorms could suppress peaks below 37°C. Above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by long-term warming trends and current synoptic patterns add modest upside risk, yet typical August humidity and convective activity create genuine uncertainty around the exact high. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing will likely refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$11,820Date de fin
9 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong's forecast for August 9 centers on a mainly fine day with maximum temperatures expected near 35–36°C, according to the Hong Kong Observatory's 9-day outlook of 29–36°C and supporting global model guidance. Traders assign the highest probabilities to these thresholds because recent runs show limited cloud cover and light winds allowing strong solar heating, while isolated afternoon showers or thunderstorms could suppress peaks below 37°C. Above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by long-term warming trends and current synoptic patterns add modest upside risk, yet typical August humidity and convective activity create genuine uncertainty around the exact high. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing will likely refine these market-implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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