**Persistent cool, unsettled conditions from a cut-off low and northwesterly flow are anchoring trader expectations for Cape Town’s September 14 maximum near 18 °C.** Official guidance and ensemble forecasts show widespread cloud cover, showers, and brisk NW winds limiting daytime heating, with consensus highs clustered between 16–18 °C. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes—18 °C (38.5 %), 19 °C (24.5 %), and 17 °C (21.5 %)—while lower probabilities on 20 °C+ reflect limited potential for clearing or warmer advection. September climatology places the long-term average maximum near 19 °C, so current model runs represent a modest negative anomaly driven by the synoptic setup rather than seasonal norms. Fresh model updates and any observed clearing tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée au Cap le 14 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée au Cap le 14 septembre ?
18°C 38%
17°C 29%
19°C 22%
16°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 sept. 2026
13°C ou moins
2%
14°C
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
7%
17°C
29%
18°C
38%
19°C
22%
20°C
5%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C ou plus
<1%
18°C 38%
17°C 29%
19°C 22%
16°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 sept. 2026
13°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
2%
14°C
$226 Vol.
2%
15°C
$96 Vol.
2%
16°C
$345 Vol.
7%
17°C
$2,163 Vol.
29%
18°C
$122 Vol.
38%
19°C
$2,701 Vol.
22%
20°C
$2,216 Vol.
5%
21°C
$209 Vol.
2%
22°C
$110 Vol.
2%
23°C ou plus
$460 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cool, unsettled conditions from a cut-off low and northwesterly flow are anchoring trader expectations for Cape Town’s September 14 maximum near 18 °C.** Official guidance and ensemble forecasts show widespread cloud cover, showers, and brisk NW winds limiting daytime heating, with consensus highs clustered between 16–18 °C. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes—18 °C (38.5 %), 19 °C (24.5 %), and 17 °C (21.5 %)—while lower probabilities on 20 °C+ reflect limited potential for clearing or warmer advection. September climatology places the long-term average maximum near 19 °C, so current model runs represent a modest negative anomaly driven by the synoptic setup rather than seasonal norms. Fresh model updates and any observed clearing tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$8,649Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cool, unsettled conditions from a cut-off low and northwesterly flow are anchoring trader expectations for Cape Town’s September 14 maximum near 18 °C.** Official guidance and ensemble forecasts show widespread cloud cover, showers, and brisk NW winds limiting daytime heating, with consensus highs clustered between 16–18 °C. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes—18 °C (38.5 %), 19 °C (24.5 %), and 17 °C (21.5 %)—while lower probabilities on 20 °C+ reflect limited potential for clearing or warmer advection. September climatology places the long-term average maximum near 19 °C, so current model runs represent a modest negative anomaly driven by the synoptic setup rather than seasonal norms. Fresh model updates and any observed clearing tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,649Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cool, unsettled conditions from a cut-off low and northwesterly flow are anchoring trader expectations for Cape Town’s September 14 maximum near 18 °C.** Official guidance and ensemble forecasts show widespread cloud cover, showers, and brisk NW winds limiting daytime heating, with consensus highs clustered between 16–18 °C. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes—18 °C (38.5 %), 19 °C (24.5 %), and 17 °C (21.5 %)—while lower probabilities on 20 °C+ reflect limited potential for clearing or warmer advection. September climatology places the long-term average maximum near 19 °C, so current model runs represent a modest negative anomaly driven by the synoptic setup rather than seasonal norms. Fresh model updates and any observed clearing tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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