Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS ensembles and regional guidance, indicate sunny conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover over Ankara, supporting daytime highs centered near 29–31°C on September 1. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 30°C (50%) over 29°C or 31°C. Persistent high pressure and dry air masses have maintained above-average temperatures for late summer, close to historical early-September norms of 27–29°C, without recent cooling fronts or significant moisture influx to alter the pattern. Updated model runs show tight consensus on peak values in this narrow range, with traders weighting the stable atmospheric setup and short time horizon until resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Ankara le 1er septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Ankara le 1er septembre ?
30°C 50%
29°C 25%
31°C 22%
28°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
5%
29°C
25%
30°C
50%
31°C
22%
32°C
3%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 50%
29°C 25%
31°C 22%
28°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
25°C or below
$89 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$175 Vol.
1%
27°C
$70 Vol.
3%
28°C
$242 Vol.
5%
29°C
$334 Vol.
25%
30°C
$422 Vol.
50%
31°C
$517 Vol.
22%
32°C
$133 Vol.
3%
33°C
$128 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$135 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$120 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS ensembles and regional guidance, indicate sunny conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover over Ankara, supporting daytime highs centered near 29–31°C on September 1. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 30°C (50%) over 29°C or 31°C. Persistent high pressure and dry air masses have maintained above-average temperatures for late summer, close to historical early-September norms of 27–29°C, without recent cooling fronts or significant moisture influx to alter the pattern. Updated model runs show tight consensus on peak values in this narrow range, with traders weighting the stable atmospheric setup and short time horizon until resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,364Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS ensembles and regional guidance, indicate sunny conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover over Ankara, supporting daytime highs centered near 29–31°C on September 1. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 30°C (50%) over 29°C or 31°C. Persistent high pressure and dry air masses have maintained above-average temperatures for late summer, close to historical early-September norms of 27–29°C, without recent cooling fronts or significant moisture influx to alter the pattern. Updated model runs show tight consensus on peak values in this narrow range, with traders weighting the stable atmospheric setup and short time horizon until resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,364Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS ensembles and regional guidance, indicate sunny conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover over Ankara, supporting daytime highs centered near 29–31°C on September 1. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 30°C (50%) over 29°C or 31°C. Persistent high pressure and dry air masses have maintained above-average temperatures for late summer, close to historical early-September norms of 27–29°C, without recent cooling fronts or significant moisture influx to alter the pattern. Updated model runs show tight consensus on peak values in this narrow range, with traders weighting the stable atmospheric setup and short time horizon until resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes