Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) larvae in livestock have expanded beyond initial Texas clusters, with USDA-APHIS confirming cases in New Mexico by early June 2026 and totals reaching dozens by July, including cattle, goats, and sheep. Trader sentiment reflects ongoing border surveillance, sterile insect technique releases, and movement restrictions that limit further spread while highlighting risks from animal transport or wind-assisted adult flies. Official dashboards track active infested zones by county and species, with low human risk noted by CDC due to absence of locally acquired cases. Key resolution factors include confirmation criteria for livestock infestations and upcoming weekly APHIS updates that could shift probabilities if new states report positives or control measures contain the outbreak.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCas confirmé de Screwworm américain chez le bétail au-delà du Texas par...
Cas confirmé de Screwworm américain chez le bétail au-delà du Texas par...
NOUVEAU
30 août
22%
31 octobre
46%
31 décembre
54%
$4,714 Vol.
30 août
$1,544 Vol.
22%
31 octobre
$501 Vol.
46%
31 décembre
$534 Vol.
54%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) larvae in livestock have expanded beyond initial Texas clusters, with USDA-APHIS confirming cases in New Mexico by early June 2026 and totals reaching dozens by July, including cattle, goats, and sheep. Trader sentiment reflects ongoing border surveillance, sterile insect technique releases, and movement restrictions that limit further spread while highlighting risks from animal transport or wind-assisted adult flies. Official dashboards track active infested zones by county and species, with low human risk noted by CDC due to absence of locally acquired cases. Key resolution factors include confirmation criteria for livestock infestations and upcoming weekly APHIS updates that could shift probabilities if new states report positives or control measures contain the outbreak.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Marché ouvert : Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ET
Volume
$4,714Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) larvae in livestock have expanded beyond initial Texas clusters, with USDA-APHIS confirming cases in New Mexico by early June 2026 and totals reaching dozens by July, including cattle, goats, and sheep. Trader sentiment reflects ongoing border surveillance, sterile insect technique releases, and movement restrictions that limit further spread while highlighting risks from animal transport or wind-assisted adult flies. Official dashboards track active infested zones by county and species, with low human risk noted by CDC due to absence of locally acquired cases. Key resolution factors include confirmation criteria for livestock infestations and upcoming weekly APHIS updates that could shift probabilities if new states report positives or control measures contain the outbreak.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$4,714Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) larvae in livestock have expanded beyond initial Texas clusters, with USDA-APHIS confirming cases in New Mexico by early June 2026 and totals reaching dozens by July, including cattle, goats, and sheep. Trader sentiment reflects ongoing border surveillance, sterile insect technique releases, and movement restrictions that limit further spread while highlighting risks from animal transport or wind-assisted adult flies. Official dashboards track active infested zones by county and species, with low human risk noted by CDC due to absence of locally acquired cases. Key resolution factors include confirmation criteria for livestock infestations and upcoming weekly APHIS updates that could shift probabilities if new states report positives or control measures contain the outbreak.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes