Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in U.S. livestock, beginning with USDA confirmation of the first Texas case on June 3, 2026, and subsequent reports in Zavala and nearby counties plus New Mexico, have driven federal and state responses including CDC Level 3 Emergency Operations Center activation and USDA sterile-insect releases. These developments follow northward spread from Mexico, where hundreds of animal cases were already active. Authoritative monitoring via screwworm.gov and APHIS shows low current U.S. risk to humans or widespread livestock, with no locally acquired human infestations reported. Trader sentiment reflects the absence of a formal presidential national emergency declaration to date despite agency frameworks, contrasted against historical reliance on sterile-fly programs and the potential for new case thresholds or model updates to trigger broader authority. Ongoing surveillance data releases and border port monitoring remain key near-term catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourScrewworm National Emergency declared by...?
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
NOUVEAU
1 janv. 2027
August 30
48%
31 octobre
45%
December 31
47%
$1,442 Vol.
August 30
$61 Vol.
48%
31 octobre
$0 Vol.
45%
December 31
$0 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in U.S. livestock, beginning with USDA confirmation of the first Texas case on June 3, 2026, and subsequent reports in Zavala and nearby counties plus New Mexico, have driven federal and state responses including CDC Level 3 Emergency Operations Center activation and USDA sterile-insect releases. These developments follow northward spread from Mexico, where hundreds of animal cases were already active. Authoritative monitoring via screwworm.gov and APHIS shows low current U.S. risk to humans or widespread livestock, with no locally acquired human infestations reported. Trader sentiment reflects the absence of a formal presidential national emergency declaration to date despite agency frameworks, contrasted against historical reliance on sterile-fly programs and the potential for new case thresholds or model updates to trigger broader authority. Ongoing surveillance data releases and border port monitoring remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
Volume
$1,442Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in U.S. livestock, beginning with USDA confirmation of the first Texas case on June 3, 2026, and subsequent reports in Zavala and nearby counties plus New Mexico, have driven federal and state responses including CDC Level 3 Emergency Operations Center activation and USDA sterile-insect releases. These developments follow northward spread from Mexico, where hundreds of animal cases were already active. Authoritative monitoring via screwworm.gov and APHIS shows low current U.S. risk to humans or widespread livestock, with no locally acquired human infestations reported. Trader sentiment reflects the absence of a formal presidential national emergency declaration to date despite agency frameworks, contrasted against historical reliance on sterile-fly programs and the potential for new case thresholds or model updates to trigger broader authority. Ongoing surveillance data releases and border port monitoring remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,442Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in U.S. livestock, beginning with USDA confirmation of the first Texas case on June 3, 2026, and subsequent reports in Zavala and nearby counties plus New Mexico, have driven federal and state responses including CDC Level 3 Emergency Operations Center activation and USDA sterile-insect releases. These developments follow northward spread from Mexico, where hundreds of animal cases were already active. Authoritative monitoring via screwworm.gov and APHIS shows low current U.S. risk to humans or widespread livestock, with no locally acquired human infestations reported. Trader sentiment reflects the absence of a formal presidential national emergency declaration to date despite agency frameworks, contrasted against historical reliance on sterile-fly programs and the potential for new case thresholds or model updates to trigger broader authority. Ongoing surveillance data releases and border port monitoring remain key near-term catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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