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icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Clarence
Politique·Élections Mondiales

Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Clarence

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Clarence
Politique·Élections Mondiales

Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Clarence

Brendan Blomeley 56%

Tony Mulder 34%

Dean Young 24%

Drew Jenner 9%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Brendan Blomeley 56%

Tony Mulder 34%

Dean Young 24%

Drew Jenner 9%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Brendan Blomeley

Brendan Blomeley

$89 Vol.

56%

icon for Tony Mulder

Tony Mulder

$39 Vol.

34%

icon for Dean Young

Dean Young

$39 Vol.

24%

icon for Drew Jenner

Drew Jenner

$97 Vol.

9%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Clarence as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Brendan Blomeley holds the lead in trader pricing as the incumbent independent mayor of Tasmania’s City of Clarence, having secured the role in 2022 after a close preference count against Tony Mulder. His February 2026 announcement seeking a second term, combined with a record of infrastructure and community projects, underpins current market positioning ahead of the October 27 local government election. The field remains fragmented, with several candidates trading near even odds and others at lower levels, reflecting the impact of preference distribution in a multi-candidate contest. Limited recent public polling or major campaign developments have kept probabilities relatively stable, though late endorsements, candidate withdrawals, or shifts in local voter priorities could alter the distribution before election day.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Clarence as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Clarence as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$264
Date de fin
28 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 3:58 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Clarence as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Brendan Blomeley holds the lead in trader pricing as the incumbent independent mayor of Tasmania’s City of Clarence, having secured the role in 2022 after a close preference count against Tony Mulder. His February 2026 announcement seeking a second term, combined with a record of infrastructure and community projects, underpins current market positioning ahead of the October 27 local government election. The field remains fragmented, with several candidates trading near even odds and others at lower levels, reflecting the impact of preference distribution in a multi-candidate contest. Limited recent public polling or major campaign developments have kept probabilities relatively stable, though late endorsements, candidate withdrawals, or shifts in local voter priorities could alter the distribution before election day.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Clarence as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Clarence as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$264
Date de fin
28 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 3:58 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Matthew Garwood remportera-t-il la prochaine élection à la mairie de Launceston ?

Matthew Garwood remportera-t-il la prochaine élection à la mairie de Launceston ?

59%
Oui
icon for Harvey Lennon remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de Hobart ?

Harvey Lennon remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de Hobart ?

34%
Oui
icon for Sue Hickey remportera-t-elle la prochaine élection municipale de Glenorchy ?

Sue Hickey remportera-t-elle la prochaine élection municipale de Glenorchy ?

54%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Clarence » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Brendan Blomeley » à 56%, suivi de « Tony Mulder » à 34%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 56¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 56% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Clarence » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Sep 3, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Clarence », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Clarence » est « Brendan Blomeley » à 56%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 56% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Tony Mulder » à 34%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Clarence » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.