Incumbent Democrat Mike Levin holds a commanding position in California's 49th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The district's partisan lean and voter registration patterns have long favored Democrats, and Levin's comfortable primary performance—advancing alongside a Republican challenger—reinforced expectations of a sizable general-election margin. Trader consensus at 94% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals favoring Republicans. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could still narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial movement from current baseline conditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCA-49 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
CA-49 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$20,224 Vol.
$20,224 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
6%
$20,224 Vol.
$20,224 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$18,997 Vol.
94%
Parti républicain
$1,227 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mike Levin holds a commanding position in California's 49th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The district's partisan lean and voter registration patterns have long favored Democrats, and Levin's comfortable primary performance—advancing alongside a Republican challenger—reinforced expectations of a sizable general-election margin. Trader consensus at 94% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals favoring Republicans. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could still narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial movement from current baseline conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$20,224Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mike Levin holds a commanding position in California's 49th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The district's partisan lean and voter registration patterns have long favored Democrats, and Levin's comfortable primary performance—advancing alongside a Republican challenger—reinforced expectations of a sizable general-election margin. Trader consensus at 94% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals favoring Republicans. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could still narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial movement from current baseline conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$20,224Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mike Levin holds a commanding position in California's 49th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The district's partisan lean and voter registration patterns have long favored Democrats, and Levin's comfortable primary performance—advancing alongside a Republican challenger—reinforced expectations of a sizable general-election margin. Trader consensus at 94% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals favoring Republicans. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could still narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial movement from current baseline conditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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