Zohran Mamdani assumed office as New York City mayor on January 1, 2026, following his November 2025 victory, with a four-year term extending through 2030. Recent Siena and Marist polling shows favorable ratings near 69 percent and net-positive job approval after his first 100 days, reflecting steady governance activity such as budget negotiations and public initiatives. New York City lacks straightforward recall provisions or other low-threshold removal processes that could force an early exit, and no verified developments point to resignation pressure, incapacity, or formal proceedings. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for “No” reflects this structural stability and polling resilience. Late-breaking factors such as a major scandal, health event, or unforeseen legal ruling remain the primary scenarios that could still shift the outcome before 2027.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedZohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
5% chance
$70,053 Vol.
$70,053 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
5% chance
$70,053 Vol.
$70,053 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani ceases to be the mayor of New York City for any period of time between taking office and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of New York City, succeeding Eric Adams, as currently scheduled for January 1, 2026, by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes.”
An announcement of Zohran Mamdani's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani, his representatives, or the Office of the Mayor of New York City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Zohran Mamdani assumed office as New York City mayor on January 1, 2026, following his November 2025 victory, with a four-year term extending through 2030. Recent Siena and Marist polling shows favorable ratings near 69 percent and net-positive job approval after his first 100 days, reflecting steady governance activity such as budget negotiations and public initiatives. New York City lacks straightforward recall provisions or other low-threshold removal processes that could force an early exit, and no verified developments point to resignation pressure, incapacity, or formal proceedings. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for “No” reflects this structural stability and polling resilience. Late-breaking factors such as a major scandal, health event, or unforeseen legal ruling remain the primary scenarios that could still shift the outcome before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani ceases to be the mayor of New York City for any period of time between taking office and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of New York City, succeeding Eric Adams, as currently scheduled for January 1, 2026, by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes.”
An announcement of Zohran Mamdani's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani, his representatives, or the Office of the Mayor of New York City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of New York City, succeeding Eric Adams, as currently scheduled for January 1, 2026, by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes.”
An announcement of Zohran Mamdani's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani, his representatives, or the Office of the Mayor of New York City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 5:25 PM ET
Volume
$70,053End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani ceases to be the mayor of New York City for any period of time between taking office and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of New York City, succeeding Eric Adams, as currently scheduled for January 1, 2026, by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes.”
An announcement of Zohran Mamdani's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani, his representatives, or the Office of the Mayor of New York City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Zohran Mamdani assumed office as New York City mayor on January 1, 2026, following his November 2025 victory, with a four-year term extending through 2030. Recent Siena and Marist polling shows favorable ratings near 69 percent and net-positive job approval after his first 100 days, reflecting steady governance activity such as budget negotiations and public initiatives. New York City lacks straightforward recall provisions or other low-threshold removal processes that could force an early exit, and no verified developments point to resignation pressure, incapacity, or formal proceedings. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for “No” reflects this structural stability and polling resilience. Late-breaking factors such as a major scandal, health event, or unforeseen legal ruling remain the primary scenarios that could still shift the outcome before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani ceases to be the mayor of New York City for any period of time between taking office and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of New York City, succeeding Eric Adams, as currently scheduled for January 1, 2026, by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes.”
An announcement of Zohran Mamdani's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani, his representatives, or the Office of the Mayor of New York City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of New York City, succeeding Eric Adams, as currently scheduled for January 1, 2026, by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes.”
An announcement of Zohran Mamdani's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani, his representatives, or the Office of the Mayor of New York City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$70,053End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Zohran Mamdani assumed office as New York City mayor on January 1, 2026, following his November 2025 victory, with a four-year term extending through 2030. Recent Siena and Marist polling shows favorable ratings near 69 percent and net-positive job approval after his first 100 days, reflecting steady governance activity such as budget negotiations and public initiatives. New York City lacks straightforward recall provisions or other low-threshold removal processes that could force an early exit, and no verified developments point to resignation pressure, incapacity, or formal proceedings. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for “No” reflects this structural stability and polling resilience. Late-breaking factors such as a major scandal, health event, or unforeseen legal ruling remain the primary scenarios that could still shift the outcome before 2027.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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