Netanyahu has repeatedly confirmed plans to address the UN General Assembly in New York around September 24, 2026, dismissing opposition from NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani over an ICC arrest warrant related to the Gaza conflict. The United States does not recognize ICC jurisdiction, and federal statements have affirmed that no arrest will occur on U.S. soil. Mamdani acknowledged the city lacks authority to enforce the warrant but urged federal action while labeling Netanyahu unwelcome. Israeli diplomats and U.S. allies continue preparations amid security coordination, with the visit framed as a platform to present Israel’s positions. These factors have driven trader consensus toward a high probability of a visit by late September, subject to any last-minute diplomatic or security shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$348,739 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
August 31
2%
September 30
93%
December 31
96%
$348,739 Vol.
August 31
$2,052 Vol.
2%
September 30
$106,640 Vol.
93%
December 31
$86,130 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island.
Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify.
Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Netanyahu has repeatedly confirmed plans to address the UN General Assembly in New York around September 24, 2026, dismissing opposition from NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani over an ICC arrest warrant related to the Gaza conflict. The United States does not recognize ICC jurisdiction, and federal statements have affirmed that no arrest will occur on U.S. soil. Mamdani acknowledged the city lacks authority to enforce the warrant but urged federal action while labeling Netanyahu unwelcome. Israeli diplomats and U.S. allies continue preparations amid security coordination, with the visit framed as a platform to present Israel’s positions. These factors have driven trader consensus toward a high probability of a visit by late September, subject to any last-minute diplomatic or security shifts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island.
Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify.
Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island.
Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify.
Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jul 22, 2026, 1:35 AM ET
Volume
$348,739End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 22, 2026, 1:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island.
Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify.
Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Netanyahu has repeatedly confirmed plans to address the UN General Assembly in New York around September 24, 2026, dismissing opposition from NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani over an ICC arrest warrant related to the Gaza conflict. The United States does not recognize ICC jurisdiction, and federal statements have affirmed that no arrest will occur on U.S. soil. Mamdani acknowledged the city lacks authority to enforce the warrant but urged federal action while labeling Netanyahu unwelcome. Israeli diplomats and U.S. allies continue preparations amid security coordination, with the visit framed as a platform to present Israel’s positions. These factors have driven trader consensus toward a high probability of a visit by late September, subject to any last-minute diplomatic or security shifts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island.
Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify.
Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island.
Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify.
Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$348,739End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 22, 2026, 1:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Netanyahu has repeatedly confirmed plans to address the UN General Assembly in New York around September 24, 2026, dismissing opposition from NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani over an ICC arrest warrant related to the Gaza conflict. The United States does not recognize ICC jurisdiction, and federal statements have affirmed that no arrest will occur on U.S. soil. Mamdani acknowledged the city lacks authority to enforce the warrant but urged federal action while labeling Netanyahu unwelcome. Israeli diplomats and U.S. allies continue preparations amid security coordination, with the visit framed as a platform to present Israel’s positions. These factors have driven trader consensus toward a high probability of a visit by late September, subject to any last-minute diplomatic or security shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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