Iran's Islamic Penal Code and constitutional structure, enforced by the Supreme Leader and Guardian Council, criminalize same-sex relations with penalties up to execution and bar legal recognition of same-sex unions. No legislative proposals, parliamentary debates, or reform signals have emerged in recent months, consistent with the conservative Majlis composition and ongoing reports of enforcement against LGBTQ individuals. Trader consensus at 97.9% "No" aligns with these entrenched barriers through the December 31, 2026 resolution window. Only an improbable regime transition, leadership change following Ayatollah Khamenei, or major upheaval could create conditions for policy reversal before the deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2% chance
$74,606 Vol.
$74,606 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
2% chance
$74,606 Vol.
$74,606 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Islamic Penal Code and constitutional structure, enforced by the Supreme Leader and Guardian Council, criminalize same-sex relations with penalties up to execution and bar legal recognition of same-sex unions. No legislative proposals, parliamentary debates, or reform signals have emerged in recent months, consistent with the conservative Majlis composition and ongoing reports of enforcement against LGBTQ individuals. Trader consensus at 97.9% "No" aligns with these entrenched barriers through the December 31, 2026 resolution window. Only an improbable regime transition, leadership change following Ayatollah Khamenei, or major upheaval could create conditions for policy reversal before the deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ET
Volume
$74,606End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Islamic Penal Code and constitutional structure, enforced by the Supreme Leader and Guardian Council, criminalize same-sex relations with penalties up to execution and bar legal recognition of same-sex unions. No legislative proposals, parliamentary debates, or reform signals have emerged in recent months, consistent with the conservative Majlis composition and ongoing reports of enforcement against LGBTQ individuals. Trader consensus at 97.9% "No" aligns with these entrenched barriers through the December 31, 2026 resolution window. Only an improbable regime transition, leadership change following Ayatollah Khamenei, or major upheaval could create conditions for policy reversal before the deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$74,606End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's Islamic Penal Code and constitutional structure, enforced by the Supreme Leader and Guardian Council, criminalize same-sex relations with penalties up to execution and bar legal recognition of same-sex unions. No legislative proposals, parliamentary debates, or reform signals have emerged in recent months, consistent with the conservative Majlis composition and ongoing reports of enforcement against LGBTQ individuals. Trader consensus at 97.9% "No" aligns with these entrenched barriers through the December 31, 2026 resolution window. Only an improbable regime transition, leadership change following Ayatollah Khamenei, or major upheaval could create conditions for policy reversal before the deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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