Washington voters face Initiative 645 on the November 3, 2026 ballot, which would repeal the 9.9% tax on household income above $1 million enacted earlier this year by the Democratic-controlled legislature and signed by Gov. Bob Ferguson. The measure, backed by Let’s Go Washington and hedge fund manager Brian Heywood after gathering over 500,000 signatures, would also bar future income-based taxes. Opponents, including the governor and organized labor, have launched a well-funded “No on I-645” campaign that highlights projected revenue losses for K-12 education, higher education, and human services, with required ballot disclosures reinforcing those impacts. The tax is projected to generate roughly $3 billion annually starting in 2029 from a narrow group of top earners while preserving Washington’s broader no-income-tax framework for most residents. Trader consensus favoring retention reflects these organized defenses of dedicated funding streams and historical voter reluctance to cut revenue measures tied to popular public services.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedThis market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
Market Opened: Sep 17, 2026, 1:18 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.sos.wa.gov/electionsResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
Resolution Source
https://www.sos.wa.gov/electionsResolver
0x65070BE91...Washington voters face Initiative 645 on the November 3, 2026 ballot, which would repeal the 9.9% tax on household income above $1 million enacted earlier this year by the Democratic-controlled legislature and signed by Gov. Bob Ferguson. The measure, backed by Let’s Go Washington and hedge fund manager Brian Heywood after gathering over 500,000 signatures, would also bar future income-based taxes. Opponents, including the governor and organized labor, have launched a well-funded “No on I-645” campaign that highlights projected revenue losses for K-12 education, higher education, and human services, with required ballot disclosures reinforcing those impacts. The tax is projected to generate roughly $3 billion annually starting in 2029 from a narrow group of top earners while preserving Washington’s broader no-income-tax framework for most residents. Trader consensus favoring retention reflects these organized defenses of dedicated funding streams and historical voter reluctance to cut revenue measures tied to popular public services.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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