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Sports·ATP

US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Men's Singles)

icon for US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Men's Singles)
Sports·ATP

US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Men's Singles)

NEW
Sep 6, 2026
Polymarket

$9,216 Vol.

Polymarket

Alexander Zverev

$100 Vol.

92%

Carlos Alcaraz

$3,380 Vol.

76%

Novak Djokovic

$5 Vol.

69%

Taylor Fritz

$0 Vol.

67%

Ben Shelton

$0 Vol.

64%

Arthur Fils

$87 Vol.

73%

Felix Auger-Aliassime

$242 Vol.

51%

Rafael Jodar

$61 Vol.

73%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

$0 Vol.

55%

Arthur Rinderknech

$0 Vol.

54%

Alejandro Tabilo

$0 Vol.

54%

Valentin Vacherot

$0 Vol.

52%

Flavio Cobolli

$21 Vol.

47%

Jakub Mensik

$21 Vol.

44%

Lorenzo Musetti

$63 Vol.

25%

Brandon Nakashima

$469 Vol.

43%

Learner Tien

$21 Vol.

42%

Alexander Bublik

$21 Vol.

42%

Daniil Medvedev

$0 Vol.

36%

Jiri Lehecka

$0 Vol.

33%

Casper Ruud

$143 Vol.

32%

Tommy Paul

$21 Vol.

31%

Frances Tiafoe

$0 Vol.

30%

Andrey Rublev

$0 Vol.

24%

Luciano Darderi

$0 Vol.

24%

Ugo Humbert

$122 Vol.

21%

Zizou Bergs

$0 Vol.

19%

Cameron Norrie

$0 Vol.

19%

Francisco Cerundolo

$21 Vol.

19%

Alexander Blockx

$0 Vol.

14%

Juncheng Shang

$0 Vol.

9%

Dane Sweeny

$0 Vol.

8%

Gael Monfils

$0 Vol.

7%

Thanasi Kokkinakis

$0 Vol.

7%

J.J. Wolf

$0 Vol.

6%

Michael Zheng

$0 Vol.

6%

Carlos Taberner

$0 Vol.

6%

Darwin Blanch

$0 Vol.

5%

Jack Kennedy

$640 Vol.

5%

Filip Misolic

$0 Vol.

5%

Patrick Kypson

$602 Vol.

4%

Joao Fonseca

$249 Vol.

3%

Sebastian Gorzny

$2,907 Vol.

<1%

Alex de Minaur

$20 Vol.

36%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The US Open 2026 men's singles main draw begins August 30 on outdoor hard courts at Flushing Meadows, with Jannik Sinner's withdrawal due to a right knee injury opening the field and elevating Alexander Zverev to the top seed ahead of defending champion Carlos Alcaraz, who returns after more than four months sidelined by a right wrist issue. Alcaraz's match fitness after limited recent play, combined with Novak Djokovic's experience and the strong form of players like Félix Auger-Aliassime and American contenders such as Ben Shelton and Taylor Fritz, shapes early-round matchups. Traders monitor official injury reports, recent hard-court results, and seed positioning, as three wins are required to reach the round of 16 amid a compressed schedule and potential upsets from in-form qualifiers or veterans.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,216
End Date
Sep 6, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:18 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The US Open 2026 men's singles main draw begins August 30 on outdoor hard courts at Flushing Meadows, with Jannik Sinner's withdrawal due to a right knee injury opening the field and elevating Alexander Zverev to the top seed ahead of defending champion Carlos Alcaraz, who returns after more than four months sidelined by a right wrist issue. Alcaraz's match fitness after limited recent play, combined with Novak Djokovic's experience and the strong form of players like Félix Auger-Aliassime and American contenders such as Ben Shelton and Taylor Fritz, shapes early-round matchups. Traders monitor official injury reports, recent hard-court results, and seed positioning, as three wins are required to reach the round of 16 amid a compressed schedule and potential upsets from in-form qualifiers or veterans.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,216
End Date
Sep 6, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:18 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Men's Singles)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alexander Zverev" at 92%, followed by "Carlos Alcaraz" at 76%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Men's Singles)" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Men's Singles)," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Men's Singles)" is "Alexander Zverev" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 76%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Men's Singles)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.