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icon for US Open 2026: To Reach Quarterfinals (Men's Singles)
Sports·ATP

US Open 2026: To Reach Quarterfinals (Men's Singles)

icon for US Open 2026: To Reach Quarterfinals (Men's Singles)
Sports·ATP

US Open 2026: To Reach Quarterfinals (Men's Singles)

NEW
Sep 9, 2026
Polymarket

$292 Vol.

Polymarket

Carlos Alcaraz

$21 Vol.

78%

Alexander Zverev

$21 Vol.

67%

Novak Djokovic

$21 Vol.

58%

Ben Shelton

$21 Vol.

51%

Daniil Medvedev

$21 Vol.

40%

Taylor Fritz

$21 Vol.

39%

Felix Auger-Aliassime

$21 Vol.

32%

Alex de Minaur

$0 Vol.

31%

Jakub Mensik

$21 Vol.

28%

Arthur Fils

$21 Vol.

27%

Frances Tiafoe

$0 Vol.

27%

Flavio Cobolli

$21 Vol.

24%

Tommy Paul

$0 Vol.

24%

Lorenzo Musetti

$21 Vol.

22%

Casper Ruud

$0 Vol.

18%

Andrey Rublev

$0 Vol.

18%

Learner Tien

$0 Vol.

16%

Brandon Nakashima

$0 Vol.

15%

Arthur Rinderknech

$0 Vol.

12%

Jiri Lehecka

$0 Vol.

12%

Alexander Bublik

$0 Vol.

11%

Ugo Humbert

$0 Vol.

11%

Francisco Cerundolo

$0 Vol.

10%

Juncheng Shang

$0 Vol.

9%

Cameron Norrie

$0 Vol.

8%

Luciano Darderi

$0 Vol.

8%

Alejandro Tabilo

$0 Vol.

7%

Michael Zheng

$0 Vol.

7%

Valentin Vacherot

$0 Vol.

7%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

$0 Vol.

7%

Alexander Blockx

$0 Vol.

7%

Zizou Bergs

$0 Vol.

6%

Jack Kennedy

$0 Vol.

6%

Patrick Kypson

$0 Vol.

6%

Filip Misolic

$0 Vol.

5%

Carlos Taberner

$0 Vol.

5%

Darwin Blanch

$0 Vol.

5%

Dane Sweeny

$0 Vol.

5%

Thanasi Kokkinakis

$0 Vol.

5%

Sebastian Gorzny

$0 Vol.

5%

Gael Monfils

$0 Vol.

4%

J.J. Wolf

$0 Vol.

3%

Joao Fonseca

$0 Vol.

3%

Rafael Jodar

$61 Vol.

56%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Quarterfinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jannik Sinner’s withdrawal with a right knee injury has opened the men’s draw significantly ahead of the August 30 start at Flushing Meadows.** Defending champion Carlos Alcaraz returns after more than four months sidelined by a right wrist injury, entering without recent match play yet positioned as the consensus favorite due to his elite talent and hard-court record. Alexander Zverev, the new top seed and 2026 French Open champion, brings strong momentum and prior US Open final experience. Novak Djokovic remains a dangerous veteran with five prior titles, while American contenders Ben Shelton and Taylor Fritz benefit from home support, recent hard-court results, and favorable seeding. Younger risers like Rafael Jódar and Arthur Fils add depth, though early-round best-of-five tests will test fitness and consistency for all players navigating an unusually unpredictable field. The draw release on August 26 will further clarify quarterfinal paths.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Quarterfinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$292
End Date
Sep 9, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:19 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Quarterfinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Quarterfinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jannik Sinner’s withdrawal with a right knee injury has opened the men’s draw significantly ahead of the August 30 start at Flushing Meadows.** Defending champion Carlos Alcaraz returns after more than four months sidelined by a right wrist injury, entering without recent match play yet positioned as the consensus favorite due to his elite talent and hard-court record. Alexander Zverev, the new top seed and 2026 French Open champion, brings strong momentum and prior US Open final experience. Novak Djokovic remains a dangerous veteran with five prior titles, while American contenders Ben Shelton and Taylor Fritz benefit from home support, recent hard-court results, and favorable seeding. Younger risers like Rafael Jódar and Arthur Fils add depth, though early-round best-of-five tests will test fitness and consistency for all players navigating an unusually unpredictable field. The draw release on August 26 will further clarify quarterfinal paths.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Quarterfinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$292
End Date
Sep 9, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:19 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Quarterfinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"US Open 2026: To Reach Quarterfinals (Men's Singles)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 78%, followed by "Alexander Zverev" at 67%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"US Open 2026: To Reach Quarterfinals (Men's Singles)" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "US Open 2026: To Reach Quarterfinals (Men's Singles)," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "US Open 2026: To Reach Quarterfinals (Men's Singles)" is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexander Zverev" at 67%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "US Open 2026: To Reach Quarterfinals (Men's Singles)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.