**The withdrawal of world No. 1 Jannik Sinner with a right knee injury has reshaped the men's draw just before main-draw action begins August 30 at Flushing Meadows.** Defending champion Carlos Alcaraz returns after a four-month right-wrist layoff without warm-up matches, while recent French Open winner Alexander Zverev enters as the top seed and clearest form player on hard courts. Novak Djokovic adds experience and historical success at the event. These shifts elevate the implied probabilities for the top seeds to advance through the best-of-five format to the semifinals, though Alcaraz's match fitness and the physical demands of late-summer conditions remain key variables for traders assessing individual paths.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Sep 10, 2026
Ben Shelton
59%
Carlos Alcaraz
59%
Taylor Fritz
56%
Alexander Zverev
47%
Novak Djokovic
32%
Rafael Jodar
29%
Felix Auger-Aliassime
15%
Arthur Fils
20%
Alex de Minaur
11%
Daniil Medvedev
10%
Jiri Lehecka
10%
Jakub Mensik
9%
Tommy Paul
9%
Flavio Cobolli
9%
Alexander Bublik
9%
Valentin Vacherot
8%
Andrey Rublev
8%
Casper Ruud
8%
Lorenzo Musetti
7%
Learner Tien
7%
Brandon Nakashima
7%
Francisco Cerundolo
7%
Frances Tiafoe
6%
Luciano Darderi
6%
Michael Zheng
5%
Alejandro Tabilo
5%
Ugo Humbert
5%
Cameron Norrie
4%
Thanasi Kokkinakis
4%
Sebastian Gorzny
4%
Juncheng Shang
4%
J.J. Wolf
4%
Arthur Rinderknech
4%
Dane Sweeny
3%
Filip Misolic
3%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
3%
Alexander Blockx
3%
Zizou Bergs
3%
Carlos Taberner
2%
Gael Monfils
2%
Jack Kennedy
2%
Darwin Blanch
2%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Patrick Kypson
1%
$7,338 Vol.
Ben Shelton
$0 Vol.
59%
Carlos Alcaraz
$77 Vol.
59%
Taylor Fritz
$0 Vol.
56%
Alexander Zverev
$42 Vol.
47%
Novak Djokovic
$0 Vol.
32%
Rafael Jodar
$1,164 Vol.
29%
Felix Auger-Aliassime
$181 Vol.
15%
Arthur Fils
$21 Vol.
20%
Alex de Minaur
$0 Vol.
11%
Daniil Medvedev
$100 Vol.
10%
Jiri Lehecka
$0 Vol.
10%
Jakub Mensik
$0 Vol.
9%
Tommy Paul
$0 Vol.
9%
Flavio Cobolli
$0 Vol.
9%
Alexander Bublik
$120 Vol.
9%
Valentin Vacherot
$0 Vol.
8%
Andrey Rublev
$0 Vol.
8%
Casper Ruud
$0 Vol.
8%
Lorenzo Musetti
$0 Vol.
7%
Learner Tien
$0 Vol.
7%
Brandon Nakashima
$0 Vol.
7%
Francisco Cerundolo
$121 Vol.
7%
Frances Tiafoe
$200 Vol.
6%
Luciano Darderi
$0 Vol.
6%
Michael Zheng
$0 Vol.
5%
Alejandro Tabilo
$0 Vol.
5%
Ugo Humbert
$0 Vol.
5%
Cameron Norrie
$0 Vol.
4%
Thanasi Kokkinakis
$0 Vol.
4%
Sebastian Gorzny
$0 Vol.
4%
Juncheng Shang
$0 Vol.
4%
J.J. Wolf
$0 Vol.
4%
Arthur Rinderknech
$0 Vol.
4%
Dane Sweeny
$0 Vol.
3%
Filip Misolic
$0 Vol.
3%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
$600 Vol.
3%
Alexander Blockx
$305 Vol.
3%
Zizou Bergs
$0 Vol.
3%
Carlos Taberner
$108 Vol.
2%
Gael Monfils
$483 Vol.
2%
Jack Kennedy
$0 Vol.
2%
Darwin Blanch
$0 Vol.
2%
Joao Fonseca
$29 Vol.
1%
Patrick Kypson
$3,787 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The withdrawal of world No. 1 Jannik Sinner with a right knee injury has reshaped the men's draw just before main-draw action begins August 30 at Flushing Meadows.** Defending champion Carlos Alcaraz returns after a four-month right-wrist layoff without warm-up matches, while recent French Open winner Alexander Zverev enters as the top seed and clearest form player on hard courts. Novak Djokovic adds experience and historical success at the event. These shifts elevate the implied probabilities for the top seeds to advance through the best-of-five format to the semifinals, though Alcaraz's match fitness and the physical demands of late-summer conditions remain key variables for traders assessing individual paths.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 11:26 AM ET
Volume
$7,338End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The withdrawal of world No. 1 Jannik Sinner with a right knee injury has reshaped the men's draw just before main-draw action begins August 30 at Flushing Meadows.** Defending champion Carlos Alcaraz returns after a four-month right-wrist layoff without warm-up matches, while recent French Open winner Alexander Zverev enters as the top seed and clearest form player on hard courts. Novak Djokovic adds experience and historical success at the event. These shifts elevate the implied probabilities for the top seeds to advance through the best-of-five format to the semifinals, though Alcaraz's match fitness and the physical demands of late-summer conditions remain key variables for traders assessing individual paths.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,338End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**The withdrawal of world No. 1 Jannik Sinner with a right knee injury has reshaped the men's draw just before main-draw action begins August 30 at Flushing Meadows.** Defending champion Carlos Alcaraz returns after a four-month right-wrist layoff without warm-up matches, while recent French Open winner Alexander Zverev enters as the top seed and clearest form player on hard courts. Novak Djokovic adds experience and historical success at the event. These shifts elevate the implied probabilities for the top seeds to advance through the best-of-five format to the semifinals, though Alcaraz's match fitness and the physical demands of late-summer conditions remain key variables for traders assessing individual paths.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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