Skip to main content
icon for UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next?
Sports·Mma

UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next?

icon for UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next?
Sports·Mma

UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next?

Justin Gaethje 8.9%

Arman Tsarukyan 7.6%

Paddy Pimblett 6.3%

Benoît Saint Denis 6.2%

Polymarket

$185,267 Vol.

Justin Gaethje 8.9%

Arman Tsarukyan 7.6%

Paddy Pimblett 6.3%

Benoît Saint Denis 6.2%

Polymarket

$185,267 Vol.

Justin Gaethje

$5,805 Vol.

9%

Arman Tsarukyan

$8,574 Vol.

8%

Paddy Pimblett

$5,160 Vol.

6%

Benoît Saint Denis

$2,018 Vol.

6%

Ilia Topuria

$2,189 Vol.

4%

Maurício Ruffy

$107,931 Vol.

1%

Dan Hooker

$10,809 Vol.

<1%

Mateusz Gamrot

$36,260 Vol.

<1%

Islam Makhachev

$1,648 Vol.

<1%

Conor McGregor

$4,873 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Charles Oliveira's March 2026 unanimous decision victory over Max Holloway for the BMF title at UFC 326 has left his next lightweight bout undetermined amid a stacked 155-pound division. No official matchup has been announced, producing the current fragmented trader consensus reflected in single-digit implied probabilities across contenders. Justin Gaethje and Arman Tsarukyan lead due to established rankings, striking power, and prior history with Oliveira, while Benoît Saint Denis gains traction from recent finishing momentum and stylistic contrast. Paddy Pimblett and Ilia Topuria factor in via divisional positioning and marketability, though factors like scheduling, title implications, and potential rematches keep the field highly competitive without a clear frontrunner.

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$185,267
End Date
Mar 1, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 6, 2026, 7:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Charles Oliveira's March 2026 unanimous decision victory over Max Holloway for the BMF title at UFC 326 has left his next lightweight bout undetermined amid a stacked 155-pound division. No official matchup has been announced, producing the current fragmented trader consensus reflected in single-digit implied probabilities across contenders. Justin Gaethje and Arman Tsarukyan lead due to established rankings, striking power, and prior history with Oliveira, while Benoît Saint Denis gains traction from recent finishing momentum and stylistic contrast. Paddy Pimblett and Ilia Topuria factor in via divisional positioning and marketability, though factors like scheduling, title implications, and potential rematches keep the field highly competitive without a clear frontrunner.

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$185,267
End Date
Mar 1, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 6, 2026, 7:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Related

icon for Will Paulo Costa fight Carlos Ulberg next?

Will Paulo Costa fight Carlos Ulberg next?

53%
icon for Will Conor McGregor fight Michael Chandler next?

Will Conor McGregor fight Michael Chandler next?

48%
icon for Will Islam Makhachev fight Carlos Prates next?

Will Islam Makhachev fight Carlos Prates next?

89%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Justin Gaethje" at 9%, followed by "Arman Tsarukyan" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 9¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 9% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next?" has generated $185.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next?" is "Justin Gaethje" at just 9%, with "Arman Tsarukyan" close behind at 8%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.