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Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?

icon for Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?
Sports·Mma

Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?

$273,668 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$273,668 Vol.

Polymarket

Alexandre Pantoja

$1,003 Vol.

35%

Aljamain Sterling

$95 Vol.

49%

Nassourdine Imavov

$0 Vol.

43%

Ciryl Gane

$1,582 Vol.

38%

Ian Machado Garry

$681 Vol.

28%

Dricus Du Plessis

$129 Vol.

26%

Charles Oliveira

$80 Vol.

22%

Manel Kape

$45,390 Vol.

20%

Sergei Pavlovich

$148 Vol.

11%

Alexander Volkov

$537 Vol.

10%

Shavkat Rakhmonov

$7 Vol.

10%

Magomed Ankalaev

$1,280 Vol.

15%

Cory Sandhagen

$120 Vol.

9%

Diego Lopes

$4,926 Vol.

7%

Deiveson Figueiredo

$992 Vol.

7%

Kamaru Usman

$6,350 Vol.

6%

Umar Nurmagomedov

$1,002 Vol.

6%

Yair Rodriguez

$21 Vol.

5%

Max Holloway

$6 Vol.

27%

Sean O'Malley

$1,434 Vol.

18%

Jiří Procházka

$3,578 Vol.

3%

Jack Della Maddalena

$48,498 Vol.

3%

Leon Edwards

$40,023 Vol.

2%

Paddy Pimblett

$4,107 Vol.

20%

Belal Muhammad

$340 Vol.

2%

Merab Dvalishvili

$1,054 Vol.

44%

Arman Tsarukyan

$3,006 Vol.

51%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Multiple title changes have already reshaped 2026 contender paths, with Sean Strickland capturing middleweight gold in May, Justin Gaethje taking lightweight in June via TKO, Carlos Ulberg claiming light heavyweight in April, and interim heavyweight action involving Ciryl Gane. These outcomes tightened probabilities around fighters with confirmed or imminent title shots, while established champions like Tom Aspinall, Islam Makhachev, and Alexander Volkanovski face defenses that could open doors for rising contenders. Upcoming numbered events and Fight Nights through summer highlight matchmaking that rewards recent form, weight-class movement, and recovery from prior losses, with any late injuries or pullouts potentially shifting implied probabilities for un crowned prospects.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$273,668
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 29, 2025, 5:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Multiple title changes have already reshaped 2026 contender paths, with Sean Strickland capturing middleweight gold in May, Justin Gaethje taking lightweight in June via TKO, Carlos Ulberg claiming light heavyweight in April, and interim heavyweight action involving Ciryl Gane. These outcomes tightened probabilities around fighters with confirmed or imminent title shots, while established champions like Tom Aspinall, Islam Makhachev, and Alexander Volkanovski face defenses that could open doors for rising contenders. Upcoming numbered events and Fight Nights through summer highlight matchmaking that rewards recent form, weight-class movement, and recovery from prior losses, with any late injuries or pullouts potentially shifting implied probabilities for un crowned prospects.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$273,668
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 29, 2025, 5:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 28 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sean Strickland" at 100%, followed by "Arman Tsarukyan" at 51%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" has generated $273.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?," browse the 28 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" is "Sean Strickland" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Arman Tsarukyan" at 51%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.