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Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?

icon for Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?
Sports·Mma

Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?

$269,763 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$269,763 Vol.

Polymarket

Nassourdine Imavov

$0 Vol.

51%

Aljamain Sterling

$95 Vol.

50%

Charles Oliveira

$80 Vol.

50%

Max Holloway

$2 Vol.

44%

Manel Kape

$44,666 Vol.

52%

Merab Dvalishvili

$1,017 Vol.

29%

Umar Nurmagomedov

$959 Vol.

26%

Diego Lopes

$4,926 Vol.

17%

Alexander Volkov

$486 Vol.

14%

Sean O'Malley

$1,396 Vol.

13%

Sergei Pavlovich

$148 Vol.

10%

Yair Rodriguez

$21 Vol.

9%

Dricus Du Plessis

$0 Vol.

8%

Leon Edwards

$39,993 Vol.

8%

Jiří Procházka

$3,568 Vol.

8%

Belal Muhammad

$274 Vol.

7%

Kamaru Usman

$6,303 Vol.

6%

Deiveson Figueiredo

$74 Vol.

6%

Shavkat Rakhmonov

$7 Vol.

6%

Jack Della Maddalena

$48,473 Vol.

3%

Paddy Pimblett

$3,510 Vol.

11%

Cory Sandhagen

$120 Vol.

10%

Alexandre Pantoja

$656 Vol.

49%

Arman Tsarukyan

$2,403 Vol.

38%

Ian Machado Garry

$649 Vol.

42%

Magomed Ankalaev

$1,104 Vol.

41%

Ciryl Gane

$1,552 Vol.

37%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Multiple title changes across divisions in late 2025 and early 2026 have reshaped the landscape, with new champions including Carlos Ulberg at light heavyweight, Sean Strickland at middleweight, Petr Yan at bantamweight, and Joshua Van at flyweight. Islam Makhachev holds welterweight gold while Ilia Topuria defends the lightweight belt against interim champion Justin Gaethje at the June White House event, creating immediate resolution triggers for that division. Heavyweight remains centered on Tom Aspinall amid questions over his availability, and featherweight sees Alexander Volkanovski active following his recent reign. Upcoming numbered cards and fight nights feature ranked contenders pushing for title shots, with injuries, camp news, and stylistic matchups poised to influence activity levels and potential upsets in a compressed 2026 schedule.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$269,763
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 29, 2025, 5:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Multiple title changes across divisions in late 2025 and early 2026 have reshaped the landscape, with new champions including Carlos Ulberg at light heavyweight, Sean Strickland at middleweight, Petr Yan at bantamweight, and Joshua Van at flyweight. Islam Makhachev holds welterweight gold while Ilia Topuria defends the lightweight belt against interim champion Justin Gaethje at the June White House event, creating immediate resolution triggers for that division. Heavyweight remains centered on Tom Aspinall amid questions over his availability, and featherweight sees Alexander Volkanovski active following his recent reign. Upcoming numbered cards and fight nights feature ranked contenders pushing for title shots, with injuries, camp news, and stylistic matchups poised to influence activity levels and potential upsets in a compressed 2026 schedule.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$269,763
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 29, 2025, 5:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 28 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sean Strickland" at 100%, followed by "Manel Kape" at 52%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" has generated $269.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?," browse the 28 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" is "Sean Strickland" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Manel Kape" at 52%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.