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Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?
Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?

Petr Yan 57%

Merab Dvalishvili 39%

Sean O'Malley 3.8%

Song Yadong <1%

Polymarket

$452,075 Vol.

Petr Yan 57%

Merab Dvalishvili 39%

Sean O'Malley 3.8%

Song Yadong <1%

Polymarket

$452,075 Vol.

Petr Yan

$6,362 Vol.

57%

Merab Dvalishvili

$5,710 Vol.

39%

Sean O'Malley

$8,266 Vol.

4%

Song Yadong

$117,312 Vol.

1%

David Martinez

$110,726 Vol.

1%

Cory Sandhagen

$4,479 Vol.

<1%

Marlon Vera

$65,089 Vol.

<1%

Aiemann Zahabi

$62,542 Vol.

<1%

Umar Nurmagomedov

$5,198 Vol.

<1%

Mario Bautista

$23,252 Vol.

<1%

Deiveson Figueiredo

$43,138 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Petr Yan leads the market at 57.5% implied probability to remain UFC bantamweight champion through the end of 2026, ahead of Merab Dvalishvili at 38.5%, reflecting his status as the current titleholder after a decisive unanimous decision rematch victory over Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025. Yan has compiled a four-fight win streak featuring strong performances against top competition, positioning him favorably ahead of their trilogy bout scheduled for UFC 333 on October 24. Dvalishvili, a former long-reigning champion with elite wrestling and cardio, sits as the clear No. 1 contender following three prior title defenses in 2025 but enters the rubber match on a loss. Sean O'Malley and other ranked contenders trail significantly, as recent form and divisional positioning favor the top two resolving the belt before year-end.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$452,075
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Petr Yan leads the market at 57.5% implied probability to remain UFC bantamweight champion through the end of 2026, ahead of Merab Dvalishvili at 38.5%, reflecting his status as the current titleholder after a decisive unanimous decision rematch victory over Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025. Yan has compiled a four-fight win streak featuring strong performances against top competition, positioning him favorably ahead of their trilogy bout scheduled for UFC 333 on October 24. Dvalishvili, a former long-reigning champion with elite wrestling and cardio, sits as the clear No. 1 contender following three prior title defenses in 2025 but enters the rubber match on a loss. Sean O'Malley and other ranked contenders trail significantly, as recent form and divisional positioning favor the top two resolving the belt before year-end.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$452,075
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Petr Yan" at 57%, followed by "Merab Dvalishvili" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?" has generated $452.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?" is "Petr Yan" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Merab Dvalishvili" at 39%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.