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Sports·UFC

Junior Tafa – Ce Liu

5d 7h
Polymarket
Junior Tafa
Junior Tafa
7:00 AMAugust 29
Ce Liu
Ce Liu
$6.28K Vol.Polymarket
NEW

Moneyline

$2.5K Vol.

Totals

$0 Vol.

Go the Distance?

$0 Vol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$1.3K Vol.

Tafa to win by KO/TKO?

$1.3K Vol.

Liu to win by KO/TKO?

$1.3K Vol.

Fight won by submission?

$0 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Junior Tafa" if Junior Tafa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ce Liu at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026. It will resolve to "Ce Liu" if Ce Liu is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Junior Tafa and Ce Liu at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Junior Tafa and Ce Liu at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Junior Tafa defeats Ce Liu at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ce Liu defeats Junior Tafa at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Junior Tafa and Ce Liu at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Junior Tafa and Ce Liu at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. "Under 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Junior Tafa and Ce Liu at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. "Under 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Junior Tafa and Ce Liu at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. "Under 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Junior Tafa's withdrawal from his scheduled light heavyweight bout against Ce Liu at UFC Shanghai on August 29 has shifted the main-card matchup, with Levi Rodrigues Jr. stepping in as replacement after Tafa sustained an undisclosed injury. Tafa, a 29-year-old power striker with a 7-6 UFC record featuring seven knockouts, enters off a first-round TKO loss to Iwo Baraniewski in June that highlighted leg-kick vulnerabilities following prior submission defeats. Ce Liu, an undefeated Chinese prospect with regional experience, benefits from home-crowd support and a stylistic matchup favoring stand-up exchanges against the incoming opponent. Recent form, injury recovery timelines, and weigh-in results remain key variables for assessing implied probabilities in this striker-heavy division bout.

This market will resolve to "Junior Tafa" if Junior Tafa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ce Liu at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026.

It will resolve to "Ce Liu" if Ce Liu is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$6,276
End Date
Aug 30, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.ufc.com/events

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Junior Tafa" if Junior Tafa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ce Liu at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026. It will resolve to "Ce Liu" if Ce Liu is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

The “Liu vs. Tafa” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the UFC game between the Ce Liu and the Junior Tafa, scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where Liu is currently priced at 51¢ (51% implied probability) and Tafa at 50¢ (50%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “Liu vs. Tafa” market has generated $6.3K in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “Liu vs. Tafa,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows CELIU at 51¢ and JUN4 at 50¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “Liu vs. Tafa” show Ce Liu at 51¢ (51% implied probability) and Junior Tafa at 50¢ (50%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “Liu vs. Tafa” market resolves based on the official final score of the UFC game as reported by UFC’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.
Sports·UFC

Junior Tafa – Ce Liu

5d 7h
Polymarket
Junior Tafa
Junior Tafa
7:00 AMAugust 29
Ce Liu
Ce Liu
$6.28K Vol.Polymarket
NEW

Moneyline

$2.5K Vol.

Totals

$0 Vol.

Go the Distance?

$0 Vol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$1.3K Vol.

Tafa to win by KO/TKO?

$1.3K Vol.

Liu to win by KO/TKO?

$1.3K Vol.

Fight won by submission?

$0 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Junior Tafa" if Junior Tafa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ce Liu at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026. It will resolve to "Ce Liu" if Ce Liu is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Junior Tafa and Ce Liu at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Junior Tafa and Ce Liu at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Junior Tafa defeats Ce Liu at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ce Liu defeats Junior Tafa at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Junior Tafa and Ce Liu at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Junior Tafa and Ce Liu at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. "Under 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Junior Tafa and Ce Liu at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. "Under 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Junior Tafa and Ce Liu at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. "Under 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Junior Tafa's withdrawal from his scheduled light heavyweight bout against Ce Liu at UFC Shanghai on August 29 has shifted the main-card matchup, with Levi Rodrigues Jr. stepping in as replacement after Tafa sustained an undisclosed injury. Tafa, a 29-year-old power striker with a 7-6 UFC record featuring seven knockouts, enters off a first-round TKO loss to Iwo Baraniewski in June that highlighted leg-kick vulnerabilities following prior submission defeats. Ce Liu, an undefeated Chinese prospect with regional experience, benefits from home-crowd support and a stylistic matchup favoring stand-up exchanges against the incoming opponent. Recent form, injury recovery timelines, and weigh-in results remain key variables for assessing implied probabilities in this striker-heavy division bout.

This market will resolve to "Junior Tafa" if Junior Tafa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ce Liu at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026.

It will resolve to "Ce Liu" if Ce Liu is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$6,276
End Date
Aug 30, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.ufc.com/events

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Junior Tafa" if Junior Tafa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ce Liu at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026. It will resolve to "Ce Liu" if Ce Liu is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

The “Liu vs. Tafa” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the UFC game between the Ce Liu and the Junior Tafa, scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where Liu is currently priced at 51¢ (51% implied probability) and Tafa at 50¢ (50%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “Liu vs. Tafa” market has generated $6.3K in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “Liu vs. Tafa,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows CELIU at 51¢ and JUN4 at 50¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “Liu vs. Tafa” show Ce Liu at 51¢ (51% implied probability) and Junior Tafa at 50¢ (50%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “Liu vs. Tafa” market resolves based on the official final score of the UFC game as reported by UFC’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.