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icon for Trump signs housing bill by end of July?

Trump signs housing bill by end of July?

icon for Trump signs housing bill by end of July?

Trump signs housing bill by end of July?

1% chance
Polymarket

$44,313 Vol.

1% chance
Polymarket

$44,313 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump signs H.R. 6644, also referred to as the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act, into law by July 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only enactment by a presidential signature shall be relevant for this market. It will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" if the relevant bill becomes a law by a method other than a presidential signature. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trump’s June 24 cancellation of the scheduled signing for the bipartisan 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act, which Congress cleared with overwhelming margins days earlier, has placed the market at even odds. The president tied the measure to passage of the SAVE America Act on voting reforms, calling the housing package secondary until that priority advances. This linkage injects near-term political risk despite broad congressional backing and prior White House signals of support. Traders are weighing the potential for swift resolution of the linked legislation against the possibility of prolonged stalemate or further conditions. Key catalysts through July include Senate action on election reforms and any direct White House signals on timing.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump signs H.R. 6644, also referred to as the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act, into law by July 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Only enactment by a presidential signature shall be relevant for this market. It will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" if the relevant bill becomes a law by a method other than a presidential signature.

The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$44,313
End Date
Jul 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump signs H.R. 6644, also referred to as the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act, into law by July 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only enactment by a presidential signature shall be relevant for this market. It will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" if the relevant bill becomes a law by a method other than a presidential signature. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump signs H.R. 6644, also referred to as the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act, into law by July 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only enactment by a presidential signature shall be relevant for this market. It will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" if the relevant bill becomes a law by a method other than a presidential signature. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trump’s June 24 cancellation of the scheduled signing for the bipartisan 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act, which Congress cleared with overwhelming margins days earlier, has placed the market at even odds. The president tied the measure to passage of the SAVE America Act on voting reforms, calling the housing package secondary until that priority advances. This linkage injects near-term political risk despite broad congressional backing and prior White House signals of support. Traders are weighing the potential for swift resolution of the linked legislation against the possibility of prolonged stalemate or further conditions. Key catalysts through July include Senate action on election reforms and any direct White House signals on timing.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump signs H.R. 6644, also referred to as the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act, into law by July 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Only enactment by a presidential signature shall be relevant for this market. It will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" if the relevant bill becomes a law by a method other than a presidential signature.

The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$44,313
End Date
Jul 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump signs H.R. 6644, also referred to as the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act, into law by July 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only enactment by a presidential signature shall be relevant for this market. It will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" if the relevant bill becomes a law by a method other than a presidential signature. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump signs housing bill by end of July?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 1% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 1¢, the market collectively assigns a 1% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump signs housing bill by end of July?" has generated $44.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump signs housing bill by end of July?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Trump signs housing bill by end of July?" is 1% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 1% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Trump signs housing bill by end of July?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.