Strong audience retention and exceptional word-of-mouth have anchored trader consensus around a 140-150 million second-weekend gross for *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*, following its record domestic opening. The film’s 90% Rotten Tomatoes score, A CinemaScore, and Tom Holland-Zendaya star power have fueled repeat viewings, while its $655 million 10-day domestic total positions it ahead of historical benchmarks like *Avengers: Endgame*. With minimal counterprogramming and sustained social buzz, the market-implied odds reflect this momentum. An upset below 140 million would require an unusually steep drop-off, potentially from sudden negative reviews or external events curbing theater attendance, though current tracking shows little sign of such shifts before the next weekend update.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)
140-150m 94%
150-160m 6%
130-140m <1%
<130m <1%
$112,353 Vol.
$112,353 Vol.
Aug 9, 2026
<130m
<1%
130-140m
1%
140-150m
94%
150-160m
6%
160-170m
<1%
170-180m
<1%
180m+
<1%
140-150m 94%
150-160m 6%
130-140m <1%
<130m <1%
$112,353 Vol.
$112,353 Vol.
Aug 9, 2026
<130m
$5,076 Vol.
<1%
130-140m
$15,498 Vol.
1%
140-150m
$22,309 Vol.
94%
150-160m
$26,898 Vol.
6%
160-170m
$24,259 Vol.
<1%
170-180m
$13,390 Vol.
<1%
180m+
$4,922 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong audience retention and exceptional word-of-mouth have anchored trader consensus around a 140-150 million second-weekend gross for *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*, following its record domestic opening. The film’s 90% Rotten Tomatoes score, A CinemaScore, and Tom Holland-Zendaya star power have fueled repeat viewings, while its $655 million 10-day domestic total positions it ahead of historical benchmarks like *Avengers: Endgame*. With minimal counterprogramming and sustained social buzz, the market-implied odds reflect this momentum. An upset below 140 million would require an unusually steep drop-off, potentially from sudden negative reviews or external events curbing theater attendance, though current tracking shows little sign of such shifts before the next weekend update.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ET
Volume
$112,353End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong audience retention and exceptional word-of-mouth have anchored trader consensus around a 140-150 million second-weekend gross for *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*, following its record domestic opening. The film’s 90% Rotten Tomatoes score, A CinemaScore, and Tom Holland-Zendaya star power have fueled repeat viewings, while its $655 million 10-day domestic total positions it ahead of historical benchmarks like *Avengers: Endgame*. With minimal counterprogramming and sustained social buzz, the market-implied odds reflect this momentum. An upset below 140 million would require an unusually steep drop-off, potentially from sudden negative reviews or external events curbing theater attendance, though current tracking shows little sign of such shifts before the next weekend update.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$112,353End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong audience retention and exceptional word-of-mouth have anchored trader consensus around a 140-150 million second-weekend gross for *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*, following its record domestic opening. The film’s 90% Rotten Tomatoes score, A CinemaScore, and Tom Holland-Zendaya star power have fueled repeat viewings, while its $655 million 10-day domestic total positions it ahead of historical benchmarks like *Avengers: Endgame*. With minimal counterprogramming and sustained social buzz, the market-implied odds reflect this momentum. An upset below 140 million would require an unusually steep drop-off, potentially from sudden negative reviews or external events curbing theater attendance, though current tracking shows little sign of such shifts before the next weekend update.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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