Recent polling consistently places the CDU at 22-24% in Saxony-Anhalt, with the most recent surveys from early September showing figures around 22-23% ahead of the September 6 Landtag election. This reflects a sustained decline from the party's 37.1% result in 2021, amid AfD support stabilizing near 41-43% and limited movement among smaller parties like the Left at 11-13%. The current CDU-SPD-FDP coalition trails a potential majority in projections, while AfD gains have narrowed paths for the incumbent without broader alliances. Late undecided voters and final campaign dynamics could still shift margins within the narrow 20-23% or 23-26% ranges reflected in trader pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated20-23% 44%
23-26% 34%
26%+ 14%
<20% 13%
$37,774 Vol.
$37,774 Vol.
<20%
13%
20-23%
44%
23-26%
34%
26%+
14%
20-23% 44%
23-26% 34%
26%+ 14%
<20% 13%
$37,774 Vol.
$37,774 Vol.
<20%
13%
20-23%
44%
23-26%
34%
26%+
14%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 2:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling consistently places the CDU at 22-24% in Saxony-Anhalt, with the most recent surveys from early September showing figures around 22-23% ahead of the September 6 Landtag election. This reflects a sustained decline from the party's 37.1% result in 2021, amid AfD support stabilizing near 41-43% and limited movement among smaller parties like the Left at 11-13%. The current CDU-SPD-FDP coalition trails a potential majority in projections, while AfD gains have narrowed paths for the incumbent without broader alliances. Late undecided voters and final campaign dynamics could still shift margins within the narrow 20-23% or 23-26% ranges reflected in trader pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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